-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
      name:  <unnamed>
       log:  diversionary-desecration-replication-output.log
  log type:  text
 opened on:   1 Nov 2023, 12:02:32

. *****************************************************************************************************

. * DIVERSIONARY DESECRATION? Regime Instability and Societal Violence against Minority Sacred Spaces *

. * Ariel Zellman and Andrea Malji; Politics, Religion & Ideology (2023) *

. ************************************************************************

. 
. ******************************

. * Site Targeting Main Models *

. ******************************

. 
. * MODEL 1 *

. 
. mlogit wzsocdis_sitetargeting_alt mmxx lxx wzmin2majx v2x_polyarchy cpi_pchg unempl_youthm_ilo max_couprisk zpop ezmajpctx minpctx fraction_rasm pola
> rize_rasm shared_religion i.year, vce(cluster group_cow) nolog

Multinomial logistic regression                        Number of obs  = 15,382
                                                       Wald chi2(107) =      .
                                                       Prob > chi2    =      .
Log pseudolikelihood = -8264.6856                      Pseudo R2      = 0.1202

                                 (Std. err. adjusted for 701 clusters in group_cow)
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                  |               Robust
wzsocdis_siteta~t | Coefficient  std. err.      z    P>|z|     [95% conf. interval]
------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
0                 |  (base outcome)
------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
1                 |
             mmxx |   .0583263   .0212623     2.74   0.006      .016653    .0999996
              lxx |   -.013392   .0290182    -0.46   0.644    -.0702666    .0434826
       wzmin2majx |   .4422195   .2087328     2.12   0.034     .0331107    .8513284
    v2x_polyarchy |    3.07367   .7663704     4.01   0.000     1.571612    4.575729
         cpi_pchg |   .0001541   .0000543     2.84   0.005     .0000476    .0002605
unempl_youthm_ilo |   .0190335    .012133     1.57   0.117    -.0047467    .0428138
     max_couprisk |  -50.87785   65.38774    -0.78   0.437    -179.0355    77.27976
             zpop |  -2.13e-10   5.63e-10    -0.38   0.705    -1.32e-09    8.91e-10
        ezmajpctx |   .0128049   .0140823     0.91   0.363     -.014796    .0404058
          minpctx |   .0096753   .0199879     0.48   0.628    -.0295003    .0488509
    fraction_rasm |    3.38132   4.307399     0.79   0.432    -5.061027    11.82367
    polarize_rasm |  -1.783822   2.757404    -0.65   0.518    -7.188234     3.62059
  shared_religion |  -.8915665   .4340422    -2.05   0.040    -1.742274   -.0408594
                  |
             year |
            1992  |  -.0318973   .1094831    -0.29   0.771    -.2464803    .1826857
            1993  |   .0371318    .138522     0.27   0.789    -.2343663    .3086299
            1994  |   .0198566    .144675     0.14   0.891    -.2637012    .3034144
            1995  |   .0881032   .1610073     0.55   0.584    -.2274652    .4036717
            1996  |     .08111   .1585477     0.51   0.609    -.2296378    .3918579
            1997  |   .2004229   .1895166     1.06   0.290    -.1710228    .5718687
            1998  |   .2251741   .1904155     1.18   0.237    -.1480334    .5983816
            1999  |   .1648492   .1742109     0.95   0.344     -.176598    .5062964
            2000  |   .2804237    .176423     1.59   0.112     -.065359    .6262064
            2001  |   .2560569   .1785033     1.43   0.151    -.0938032     .605917
            2002  |   .3042208   .1982308     1.53   0.125    -.0843044     .692746
            2003  |   .2308626    .196673     1.17   0.240    -.1546094    .6163346
            2004  |   .3436434    .211531     1.62   0.104    -.0709498    .7582366
            2005  |   .3266085   .2143056     1.52   0.128    -.0934227    .7466396
            2006  |   .4191179   .2241579     1.87   0.062    -.0202235    .8584593
            2007  |   .4359918   .2282606     1.91   0.056    -.0113907    .8833743
            2008  |   .4740386    .234514     2.02   0.043     .0143996    .9336777
            2009  |   .3450813   .2199462     1.57   0.117    -.0860053    .7761679
            2010  |   .4680645   .2188092     2.14   0.032     .0392064    .8969226
            2011  |   .4264409   .2238291     1.91   0.057    -.0122561    .8651378
            2012  |    .582639   .2232506     2.61   0.009     .1450759    1.020202
            2013  |   .5279283   .2316563     2.28   0.023     .0738904    .9819662
            2014  |   .4076151   .2101775     1.94   0.052    -.0043252    .8195554
                  |
            _cons |  -6.236146   1.415269    -4.41   0.000    -9.010023    -3.46227
------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
2                 |
             mmxx |   .1051979   .0200481     5.25   0.000     .0659043    .1444916
              lxx |  -.0232663   .0215649    -1.08   0.281    -.0655327        .019
       wzmin2majx |   .6317993   .1896423     3.33   0.001     .2601073    1.003491
    v2x_polyarchy |   3.107066    .794047     3.91   0.000     1.550762    4.663369
         cpi_pchg |   .0001434   .0000454     3.16   0.002     .0000545    .0002323
unempl_youthm_ilo |   .0293405   .0095913     3.06   0.002      .010542     .048139
     max_couprisk |  -44.96494   37.69765    -1.19   0.233     -118.851     28.9211
             zpop |   5.83e-10   6.44e-10     0.91   0.365    -6.79e-10    1.84e-09
        ezmajpctx |  -.0029325   .0124364    -0.24   0.814    -.0273075    .0214424
          minpctx |   .0294618   .0176865     1.67   0.096     -.005203    .0641267
    fraction_rasm |    2.72828   2.939088     0.93   0.353    -3.032226    8.488785
    polarize_rasm |  -1.789008   1.954764    -0.92   0.360    -5.620275     2.04226
  shared_religion |  -.4634644   .3476007    -1.33   0.182    -1.144749    .2178204
                  |
             year |
            1992  |  -.0992736   .1007165    -0.99   0.324    -.2966742    .0981271
            1993  |  -.0273549    .113454    -0.24   0.809    -.2497206    .1950108
            1994  |  -.0709707   .1318713    -0.54   0.590    -.3294336    .1874923
            1995  |   .0361193   .1476944     0.24   0.807    -.2533565     .325595
            1996  |  -.0859537   .1373599    -0.63   0.531    -.3551741    .1832667
            1997  |  -.0223146   .1461311    -0.15   0.879    -.3087264    .2640971
            1998  |   .1304604   .1725983     0.76   0.450     -.207826    .4687468
            1999  |   .0096987   .1583756     0.06   0.951    -.3007117    .3201092
            2000  |   .0533238   .1753998     0.30   0.761    -.2904534     .397101
            2001  |   .1619012   .1886561     0.86   0.391     -.207858    .5316605
            2002  |   .0503748   .1985111     0.25   0.800    -.3386997    .4394493
            2003  |   .0663923   .1914845     0.35   0.729    -.3089105    .4416951
            2004  |   .0541898   .1937971     0.28   0.780    -.3256455    .4340252
            2005  |   .0133919   .1963036     0.07   0.946    -.3713562      .39814
            2006  |   .1943494   .2139455     0.91   0.364    -.2249762     .613675
            2007  |   .0903338   .2131945     0.42   0.672    -.3275198    .5081874
            2008  |   .0306805   .2109751     0.15   0.884     -.382823     .444184
            2009  |   .1340505   .2061659     0.65   0.516    -.2700272    .5381282
            2010  |   .2324172   .2210603     1.05   0.293     -.200853    .6656873
            2011  |   .2013983   .2165577     0.93   0.352     -.223047    .6258437
            2012  |   .1735821   .2105369     0.82   0.410    -.2390626    .5862267
            2013  |   .1110543   .2133391     0.52   0.603    -.3070826    .5291913
            2014  |   .2035118   .2097747     0.97   0.332    -.2076391    .6146627
                  |
            _cons |  -5.270142    1.29316    -4.08   0.000     -7.80469   -2.735594
------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
3                 |
             mmxx |   .0605769   .0308135     1.97   0.049     .0001836    .1209701
              lxx |   .0671835   .0277775     2.42   0.016     .0127405    .1216264
       wzmin2majx |    .630635   .2599328     2.43   0.015     .1211761    1.140094
    v2x_polyarchy |   2.660571   .9063501     2.94   0.003     .8841578    4.436985
         cpi_pchg |   -.000078   .0002673    -0.29   0.770    -.0006018    .0004459
unempl_youthm_ilo |  -.0057261   .0178859    -0.32   0.749    -.0407818    .0293297
     max_couprisk |   64.88074   14.29774     4.54   0.000     36.85767     92.9038
             zpop |   5.97e-10   4.78e-10     1.25   0.212    -3.40e-10    1.53e-09
        ezmajpctx |  -.0117631   .0146076    -0.81   0.421    -.0403935    .0168674
          minpctx |   .0267497   .0200803     1.33   0.183    -.0126069    .0661064
    fraction_rasm |  -3.157383   4.272615    -0.74   0.460    -11.53155    5.216788
    polarize_rasm |   1.760232   2.571724     0.68   0.494    -3.280254    6.800719
  shared_religion |    .314777   .4207662     0.75   0.454    -.5099096    1.139464
                  |
             year |
            1992  |  -.0374537   .0690331    -0.54   0.587     -.172756    .0978487
            1993  |   .0526783   .1006589     0.52   0.601    -.1446094    .2499661
            1994  |   .1507054   .1249581     1.21   0.228     -.094208    .3956187
            1995  |   .2121918   .1316488     1.61   0.107    -.0458351    .4702186
            1996  |   .1143353   .1156015     0.99   0.323    -.1122396    .3409102
            1997  |   .1135158   .1155277     0.98   0.326    -.1129142    .3399459
            1998  |   .2166112   .1411784     1.53   0.125    -.0600935    .4933158
            1999  |   .1442178   .1462484     0.99   0.324    -.1424238    .4308593
            2000  |   .1354019    .145796     0.93   0.353    -.1503529    .4211568
            2001  |    .227064   .1602182     1.42   0.156    -.0869578    .5410859
            2002  |   .1820966   .1718663     1.06   0.289    -.1547552    .5189484
            2003  |   .2405232   .1707152     1.41   0.159    -.0940725    .5751188
            2004  |   .3449533   .1918699     1.80   0.072    -.0311047    .7210114
            2005  |   .3190519   .1896074     1.68   0.092    -.0525717    .6906755
            2006  |   .4094963   .1914705     2.14   0.032     .0342209    .7847717
            2007  |   .4499455   .1994917     2.26   0.024      .058949     .840942
            2008  |   .3357527   .2069325     1.62   0.105    -.0698275    .7413329
            2009  |   .3063731   .2115204     1.45   0.147    -.1081993    .7209456
            2010  |   .3249128   .2323231     1.40   0.162    -.1304321    .7802577
            2011  |   .2917594   .2317334     1.26   0.208    -.1624297    .7459485
            2012  |   .3745541   .2364919     1.58   0.113    -.0889614    .8380696
            2013  |   .3370073   .2340164     1.44   0.150    -.1216564     .795671
            2014  |    .229142   .2311947     0.99   0.322    -.2239914    .6822753
                  |
            _cons |  -5.706768   1.450661    -3.93   0.000    -8.550011   -2.863526
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. 
. * Model 1 Marginal Effects *

. 
. margins, dydx(mmxx wzmin2majx cpi_pchg unempl_youthm_ilo max_couprisk v2x_polyarchy lxx) predict(outcome(1))

Average marginal effects                                Number of obs = 15,382
Model VCE: Robust

Expression: Pr(wzsocdis_sitetargeting_alt==1), predict(outcome(1))
dy/dx wrt:  mmxx lxx wzmin2majx v2x_polyarchy cpi_pchg unempl_youthm_ilo max_couprisk

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                  |            Delta-method
                  |      dy/dx   std. err.      z    P>|z|     [95% conf. interval]
------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
             mmxx |   .0021204   .0009946     2.13   0.033     .0001711    .0040698
              lxx |  -.0006746   .0013623    -0.50   0.620    -.0033446    .0019955
       wzmin2majx |   .0165293   .0089559     1.85   0.065    -.0010239    .0340825
    v2x_polyarchy |   .1252835   .0395164     3.17   0.002     .0478327    .2027343
         cpi_pchg |   6.82e-06   2.68e-06     2.55   0.011     1.57e-06    .0000121
unempl_youthm_ilo |   .0007748   .0005715     1.36   0.175    -.0003452    .0018949
     max_couprisk |  -2.352609    3.07582    -0.76   0.444    -8.381105    3.675887
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. 
. margins, dydx(mmxx wzmin2majx cpi_pchg unempl_youthm_ilo max_couprisk v2x_polyarchy lxx) predict(outcome(2))

Average marginal effects                                Number of obs = 15,382
Model VCE: Robust

Expression: Pr(wzsocdis_sitetargeting_alt==2), predict(outcome(2))
dy/dx wrt:  mmxx lxx wzmin2majx v2x_polyarchy cpi_pchg unempl_youthm_ilo max_couprisk

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                  |            Delta-method
                  |      dy/dx   std. err.      z    P>|z|     [95% conf. interval]
------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
             mmxx |   .0053521   .0011517     4.65   0.000     .0030948    .0076093
              lxx |  -.0015085   .0011566    -1.30   0.192    -.0037753    .0007584
       wzmin2majx |   .0305944   .0094999     3.22   0.001      .011975    .0492138
    v2x_polyarchy |   .1476952   .0447617     3.30   0.001     .0599639    .2354264
         cpi_pchg |   7.57e-06   2.66e-06     2.84   0.004     2.35e-06    .0000128
unempl_youthm_ilo |   .0015706   .0005491     2.86   0.004     .0004944    .0026468
     max_couprisk |  -2.524876   2.174078    -1.16   0.245    -6.785991    1.736239
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. 
. margins, dydx(mmxx wzmin2majx cpi_pchg unempl_youthm_ilo max_couprisk v2x_polyarchy lxx) predict(outcome(3))

Average marginal effects                                Number of obs = 15,382
Model VCE: Robust

Expression: Pr(wzsocdis_sitetargeting_alt==3), predict(outcome(3))
dy/dx wrt:  mmxx lxx wzmin2majx v2x_polyarchy cpi_pchg unempl_youthm_ilo max_couprisk

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                  |            Delta-method
                  |      dy/dx   std. err.      z    P>|z|     [95% conf. interval]
------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
             mmxx |   .0016494   .0011009     1.50   0.134    -.0005083    .0038072
              lxx |    .002574   .0010654     2.42   0.016     .0004858    .0046621
       wzmin2majx |   .0194256   .0088045     2.21   0.027      .002169    .0366822
    v2x_polyarchy |    .077432   .0338953     2.28   0.022     .0109985    .1438655
         cpi_pchg |  -3.77e-06   9.73e-06    -0.39   0.698    -.0000229    .0000153
unempl_youthm_ilo |  -.0003709   .0006471    -0.57   0.567    -.0016392    .0008973
     max_couprisk |   2.662844    .671021     3.97   0.000     1.347667    3.978021
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. 
. * Model 1 Marginal Probabilities *

. 
. margins, at(mmxx=(0 2 24)) predict(outcome(1))

Predictive margins                                      Number of obs = 15,382
Model VCE: Robust

Expression: Pr(wzsocdis_sitetargeting_alt==1), predict(outcome(1))
1._at: mmxx =  0
2._at: mmxx =  2
3._at: mmxx = 24

------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |            Delta-method
             |     Margin   std. err.      z    P>|z|     [95% conf. interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
         _at |
          1  |   .0433797   .0072891     5.95   0.000     .0290934     .057666
          2  |   .0473955    .007159     6.62   0.000     .0333642    .0614269
          3  |   .0923699   .0343917     2.69   0.007     .0249633    .1597764
------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. 
. margins, at(mmxx=(0 2 24)) predict(outcome(2))

Predictive margins                                      Number of obs = 15,382
Model VCE: Robust

Expression: Pr(wzsocdis_sitetargeting_alt==2), predict(outcome(2))
1._at: mmxx =  0
2._at: mmxx =  2
3._at: mmxx = 24

------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |            Delta-method
             |     Margin   std. err.      z    P>|z|     [95% conf. interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
         _at |
          1  |   .0407207   .0068875     5.91   0.000     .0272214      .05422
          2  |   .0486218   .0071903     6.76   0.000      .034529    .0627146
          3  |   .2518422   .0609761     4.13   0.000     .1323314    .3713531
------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. 
. margins, at(mmxx=(0 2 24)) predict(outcome(3))

Predictive margins                                      Number of obs = 15,382
Model VCE: Robust

Expression: Pr(wzsocdis_sitetargeting_alt==3), predict(outcome(3))
1._at: mmxx =  0
2._at: mmxx =  2
3._at: mmxx = 24

------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |            Delta-method
             |     Margin   std. err.      z    P>|z|     [95% conf. interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
         _at |
          1  |   .0303119   .0075739     4.00   0.000     .0154673    .0451565
          2  |   .0331477   .0070612     4.69   0.000     .0193079    .0469874
          3  |   .0711065   .0336029     2.12   0.034     .0052461    .1369669
------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. 
. margins, at(wzmin2majx=(0 3 6)) predict(outcome(1))

Predictive margins                                      Number of obs = 15,382
Model VCE: Robust

Expression: Pr(wzsocdis_sitetargeting_alt==1), predict(outcome(1))
1._at: wzmin2majx = 0
2._at: wzmin2majx = 3
3._at: wzmin2majx = 6

------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |            Delta-method
             |     Margin   std. err.      z    P>|z|     [95% conf. interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
         _at |
          1  |   .0508862   .0073287     6.94   0.000     .0365223    .0652501
          2  |   .1059816   .0443589     2.39   0.017     .0190398    .1929235
          3  |    .123293   .0976501     1.26   0.207    -.0680977    .3146837
------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. 
. margins, at(wzmin2majx=(0 3 6)) predict(outcome(2))

Predictive margins                                      Number of obs = 15,382
Model VCE: Robust

Expression: Pr(wzsocdis_sitetargeting_alt==2), predict(outcome(2))
1._at: wzmin2majx = 0
2._at: wzmin2majx = 3
3._at: wzmin2majx = 6

------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |            Delta-method
             |     Margin   std. err.      z    P>|z|     [95% conf. interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
         _at |
          1  |    .061191   .0078092     7.84   0.000     .0458852    .0764968
          2  |   .2076502   .0625617     3.32   0.001     .0850315    .3302688
          3  |   .4010863   .1534956     2.61   0.009     .1002405    .7019322
------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. 
. margins, at(wzmin2majx=(0 3 6)) predict(outcome(3))

Predictive margins                                      Number of obs = 15,382
Model VCE: Robust

Expression: Pr(wzsocdis_sitetargeting_alt==3), predict(outcome(3))
1._at: wzmin2majx = 0
2._at: wzmin2majx = 3
3._at: wzmin2majx = 6

------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |            Delta-method
             |     Margin   std. err.      z    P>|z|     [95% conf. interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
         _at |
          1  |    .037661   .0067736     5.56   0.000     .0243849     .050937
          2  |   .1324772   .0659008     2.01   0.044     .0033139    .2616404
          3  |    .266647   .1913569     1.39   0.163    -.1084056    .6416996
------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. 
. margins, at(cpi_pchg=(0.060 4.827 43.073)) predict(outcome(1))

Predictive margins                                      Number of obs = 15,382
Model VCE: Robust

Expression: Pr(wzsocdis_sitetargeting_alt==1), predict(outcome(1))
1._at: cpi_pchg =    .06
2._at: cpi_pchg =  4.827
3._at: cpi_pchg = 43.073

------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |            Delta-method
             |     Margin   std. err.      z    P>|z|     [95% conf. interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
         _at |
          1  |   .0519334   .0072667     7.15   0.000     .0376909    .0661758
          2  |   .0519658   .0072709     7.15   0.000     .0377151    .0662165
          3  |   .0522267   .0073054     7.15   0.000     .0379084    .0665449
------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. 
. margins, at(cpi_pchg=(0.060 4.827 43.073)) predict(outcome(2))

Predictive margins                                      Number of obs = 15,382
Model VCE: Robust

Expression: Pr(wzsocdis_sitetargeting_alt==2), predict(outcome(2))
1._at: cpi_pchg =    .06
2._at: cpi_pchg =  4.827
3._at: cpi_pchg = 43.073

------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |            Delta-method
             |     Margin   std. err.      z    P>|z|     [95% conf. interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
         _at |
          1  |   .0650811   .0079096     8.23   0.000     .0495786    .0805836
          2  |   .0651172   .0079134     8.23   0.000     .0496071    .0806272
          3  |   .0654068    .007945     8.23   0.000     .0498349    .0809786
------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. 
. margins, at(cpi_pchg=(0.060 4.827 43.073)) predict(outcome(3))

Predictive margins                                      Number of obs = 15,382
Model VCE: Robust

Expression: Pr(wzsocdis_sitetargeting_alt==3), predict(outcome(3))
1._at: cpi_pchg =    .06
2._at: cpi_pchg =  4.827
3._at: cpi_pchg = 43.073

------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |            Delta-method
             |     Margin   std. err.      z    P>|z|     [95% conf. interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
         _at |
          1  |   .0419357   .0069599     6.03   0.000     .0282946    .0555769
          2  |   .0419177   .0069568     6.03   0.000     .0282827    .0555527
          3  |   .0417734   .0069429     6.02   0.000     .0281657    .0553812
------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. 
. margins, at(unempl_youthm_ilo=(2.425 15.803 39.835)) predict(outcome(1))

Predictive margins                                      Number of obs = 15,382
Model VCE: Robust

Expression: Pr(wzsocdis_sitetargeting_alt==1), predict(outcome(1))
1._at: unempl_youthm_~o =  2.425
2._at: unempl_youthm_~o = 15.803
3._at: unempl_youthm_~o = 39.835

------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |            Delta-method
             |     Margin   std. err.      z    P>|z|     [95% conf. interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
         _at |
          1  |   .0415923   .0095864     4.34   0.000     .0228034    .0603812
          2  |    .051303   .0073831     6.95   0.000     .0368325    .0657736
          3  |   .0721039   .0192359     3.75   0.000     .0344022    .1098056
------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. 
. margins, at(unempl_youthm_ilo=(2.425 15.803 39.835)) predict(outcome(2))

Predictive margins                                      Number of obs = 15,382
Model VCE: Robust

Expression: Pr(wzsocdis_sitetargeting_alt==2), predict(outcome(2))
1._at: unempl_youthm_~o =  2.425
2._at: unempl_youthm_~o = 15.803
3._at: unempl_youthm_~o = 39.835

------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |            Delta-method
             |     Margin   std. err.      z    P>|z|     [95% conf. interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
         _at |
          1  |   .0446899   .0085403     5.23   0.000     .0279513    .0614285
          2  |   .0625439   .0079547     7.86   0.000      .046953    .0781348
          3  |    .109852   .0217145     5.06   0.000     .0672925    .1524115
------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. 
. margins, at(unempl_youthm_ilo=(2.425 15.803 39.835)) predict(outcome(3))

Predictive margins                                      Number of obs = 15,382
Model VCE: Robust

Expression: Pr(wzsocdis_sitetargeting_alt==3), predict(outcome(3))
1._at: unempl_youthm_~o =  2.425
2._at: unempl_youthm_~o = 15.803
3._at: unempl_youthm_~o = 39.835

------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |            Delta-method
             |     Margin   std. err.      z    P>|z|     [95% conf. interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
         _at |
          1  |   .0470272   .0122055     3.85   0.000     .0231049    .0709495
          2  |     .04205   .0069863     6.02   0.000     .0283571    .0557428
          3  |    .033164   .0140013     2.37   0.018     .0057219    .0606061
------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. 
. margins, at(max_couprisk=(0.00003 0.0017 0.0119)) predict(outcome(1))

Predictive margins                                      Number of obs = 15,382
Model VCE: Robust

Expression: Pr(wzsocdis_sitetargeting_alt==1), predict(outcome(1))
1._at: max_couprisk = .00003
2._at: max_couprisk =  .0017
3._at: max_couprisk =  .0119

------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |            Delta-method
             |     Margin   std. err.      z    P>|z|     [95% conf. interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
         _at |
          1  |   .0571418   .0097347     5.87   0.000     .0380622    .0762214
          2  |   .0530107    .007428     7.14   0.000     .0384522    .0675692
          3  |   .0325149   .0210573     1.54   0.123    -.0087567    .0737865
------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. 
. margins, at(max_couprisk=(0.00003 0.0017 0.0119)) predict(outcome(2))

Predictive margins                                      Number of obs = 15,382
Model VCE: Robust

Expression: Pr(wzsocdis_sitetargeting_alt==2), predict(outcome(2))
1._at: max_couprisk = .00003
2._at: max_couprisk =  .0017
3._at: max_couprisk =  .0119

------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |            Delta-method
             |     Margin   std. err.      z    P>|z|     [95% conf. interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
         _at |
          1  |   .0709678   .0104005     6.82   0.000     .0505832    .0913523
          2  |   .0665771    .008294     8.03   0.000     .0503211     .082833
          3  |   .0434723   .0147741     2.94   0.003     .0145157    .0724289
------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. 
. margins, at(max_couprisk=(0.00003 0.0017 0.0119)) predict(outcome(3))

Predictive margins                                      Number of obs = 15,382
Model VCE: Robust

Expression: Pr(wzsocdis_sitetargeting_alt==3), predict(outcome(3))
1._at: max_couprisk = .00003
2._at: max_couprisk =  .0017
3._at: max_couprisk =  .0119

------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |            Delta-method
             |     Margin   std. err.      z    P>|z|     [95% conf. interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
         _at |
          1  |   .0345949   .0060456     5.72   0.000     .0227458    .0464441
          2  |    .038616   .0065793     5.87   0.000     .0257207    .0515112
          3  |   .0725616   .0138787     5.23   0.000     .0453598    .0997633
------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. 
. margins, at(v2x_polyarchy=(0.095 0.532 0.892)) predict(outcome(1))

Predictive margins                                      Number of obs = 15,382
Model VCE: Robust

Expression: Pr(wzsocdis_sitetargeting_alt==1), predict(outcome(1))
1._at: v2x_polyarchy = .095
2._at: v2x_polyarchy = .532
3._at: v2x_polyarchy = .892

------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |            Delta-method
             |     Margin   std. err.      z    P>|z|     [95% conf. interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
         _at |
          1  |   .0133795   .0052755     2.54   0.011     .0030398    .0237192
          2  |   .0422501   .0068571     6.16   0.000     .0288105    .0556897
          3  |   .0960274   .0223707     4.29   0.000     .0521817    .1398731
------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. 
. margins, at(v2x_polyarchy=(0.095 0.532 0.892)) predict(outcome(2))

Predictive margins                                      Number of obs = 15,382
Model VCE: Robust

Expression: Pr(wzsocdis_sitetargeting_alt==2), predict(outcome(2))
1._at: v2x_polyarchy = .095
2._at: v2x_polyarchy = .532
3._at: v2x_polyarchy = .892

------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |            Delta-method
             |     Margin   std. err.      z    P>|z|     [95% conf. interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
         _at |
          1  |   .0217294   .0072712     2.99   0.003     .0074782    .0359806
          2  |   .0600713   .0076765     7.83   0.000     .0450256    .0751171
          3  |   .1234997   .0251926     4.90   0.000     .0741232    .1728762
------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. 
. margins, at(v2x_polyarchy=(0.095 0.532 0.892)) predict(outcome(3))

Predictive margins                                      Number of obs = 15,382
Model VCE: Robust

Expression: Pr(wzsocdis_sitetargeting_alt==3), predict(outcome(3))
1._at: v2x_polyarchy = .095
2._at: v2x_polyarchy = .532
3._at: v2x_polyarchy = .892

------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |            Delta-method
             |     Margin   std. err.      z    P>|z|     [95% conf. interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
         _at |
          1  |   .0194992   .0062675     3.11   0.002     .0072152    .0317832
          2  |   .0438626   .0073359     5.98   0.000     .0294845    .0582408
          3  |   .0772564   .0234166     3.30   0.001     .0313607    .1231522
------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. 
. margins, at(lxx=(3 7 29)) predict(outcome(1))

Predictive margins                                      Number of obs = 15,382
Model VCE: Robust

Expression: Pr(wzsocdis_sitetargeting_alt==1), predict(outcome(1))
1._at: lxx =  3
2._at: lxx =  7
3._at: lxx = 29

------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |            Delta-method
             |     Margin   std. err.      z    P>|z|     [95% conf. interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
         _at |
          1  |   .0571745   .0137682     4.15   0.000     .0301894    .0841596
          2  |   .0546322   .0091453     5.97   0.000     .0367078    .0725566
          3  |   .0394318   .0203191     1.94   0.052    -.0003929    .0792565
------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. 
. margins, at(lxx=(3 7 29)) predict(outcome(2))

Predictive margins                                      Number of obs = 15,382
Model VCE: Robust

Expression: Pr(wzsocdis_sitetargeting_alt==2), predict(outcome(2))
1._at: lxx =  3
2._at: lxx =  7
3._at: lxx = 29

------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |            Delta-method
             |     Margin   std. err.      z    P>|z|     [95% conf. interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
         _at |
          1  |   .0796996   .0142992     5.57   0.000     .0516736    .1077256
          2  |   .0734416   .0100499     7.31   0.000     .0537441    .0931391
          3  |   .0425182   .0149404     2.85   0.004     .0132355    .0718009
------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. 
. margins, at(lxx=(3 7 29)) predict(outcome(3))

Predictive margins                                      Number of obs = 15,382
Model VCE: Robust

Expression: Pr(wzsocdis_sitetargeting_alt==3), predict(outcome(3))
1._at: lxx =  3
2._at: lxx =  7
3._at: lxx = 29

------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |            Delta-method
             |     Margin   std. err.      z    P>|z|     [95% conf. interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
         _at |
          1  |   .0216066   .0062496     3.46   0.001     .0093577    .0338555
          2  |    .028242    .006116     4.62   0.000     .0162548    .0402291
          3  |   .1116012   .0477479     2.34   0.019      .018017    .2051854
------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. 
. * MODEL 2 - Violence v Sacred Sites *

. 
. mlogit wzsocdis25x mmxx lxx wzmin2majx v2x_polyarchy cpi_pchg unempl_youthm_ilo max_couprisk zpop ezmajpctx minpctx fraction_rasm polarize_rasm share
> d_religion i.year, vce(cluster group_cow)

Iteration 0:  Log pseudolikelihood =  -4589.244  
Iteration 1:  Log pseudolikelihood = -4076.2675  
Iteration 2:  Log pseudolikelihood = -3975.9638  
Iteration 3:  Log pseudolikelihood = -3972.6698  
Iteration 4:  Log pseudolikelihood = -3972.2066  
Iteration 5:  Log pseudolikelihood = -3972.1872  
Iteration 6:  Log pseudolikelihood = -3972.1872  

Multinomial logistic regression                         Number of obs = 15,382
                                                        Wald chi2(71) =      .
                                                        Prob > chi2   =      .
Log pseudolikelihood = -3972.1872                       Pseudo R2     = 0.1345

                                 (Std. err. adjusted for 701 clusters in group_cow)
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                  |               Robust
      wzsocdis25x | Coefficient  std. err.      z    P>|z|     [95% conf. interval]
------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
None              |  (base outcome)
------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
Minor             |
             mmxx |   .0487356   .0236127     2.06   0.039     .0024555    .0950157
              lxx |  -.0191775    .027279    -0.70   0.482    -.0726434    .0342883
       wzmin2majx |   .7258515   .1728502     4.20   0.000     .3870713    1.064632
    v2x_polyarchy |   2.601055   1.178518     2.21   0.027     .2912025    4.910908
         cpi_pchg |  -.0018645   .0016914    -1.10   0.270    -.0051796    .0014506
unempl_youthm_ilo |   .0131541   .0171974     0.76   0.444    -.0205521    .0468604
     max_couprisk |   22.11467    25.0268     0.88   0.377    -26.93696     71.1663
             zpop |   1.68e-09   5.69e-10     2.94   0.003     5.60e-10    2.79e-09
        ezmajpctx |   .0213289    .011812     1.81   0.071    -.0018223      .04448
          minpctx |    .013353   .0186455     0.72   0.474    -.0231914    .0498975
    fraction_rasm |   4.610533    1.86131     2.48   0.013      .962432    8.258633
    polarize_rasm |  -1.517758   1.450715    -1.05   0.295    -4.361108    1.325592
  shared_religion |  -.2440288   .4973527    -0.49   0.624    -1.218822    .7307645
                  |
             year |
            1992  |  -.2034592   .1459952    -1.39   0.163    -.4896046    .0826861
            1993  |   .0242938   .1229606     0.20   0.843    -.2167046    .2652921
            1994  |   .2376907   .2016075     1.18   0.238    -.1574526    .6328341
            1995  |   .3556471   .2386739     1.49   0.136    -.1121452    .8234395
            1996  |  -.1045678   .1314688    -0.80   0.426    -.3622419    .1531063
            1997  |   .1265913   .2099613     0.60   0.547    -.2849253     .538108
            1998  |   .5816978   .2982509     1.95   0.051    -.0028633    1.166259
            1999  |   .4087887   .2720516     1.50   0.133    -.1244227    .9420001
            2000  |   .5464624   .2964717     1.84   0.065    -.0346115    1.127536
            2001  |   .7851557   .3182726     2.47   0.014     .1613529    1.408958
            2002  |   .6400443    .335673     1.91   0.057    -.0178626    1.297951
            2003  |   .7264811   .3383301     2.15   0.032     .0633662    1.389596
            2004  |   .6497427    .337659     1.92   0.054    -.0120568    1.311542
            2005  |   .6423366   .3412368     1.88   0.060    -.0264753    1.311149
            2006  |   .8839317   .3550631     2.49   0.013     .1880208    1.579843
            2007  |   .6160801   .3417171     1.80   0.071    -.0536731    1.285833
            2008  |    .495859   .3373898     1.47   0.142    -.1654129    1.157131
            2009  |   .8744819   .3607508     2.42   0.015     .1674233     1.58154
            2010  |   .7793597   .3757423     2.07   0.038     .0429182    1.515801
            2011  |   .7105525   .3779014     1.88   0.060    -.0301207    1.451226
            2012  |   .5916242     .36218     1.63   0.102    -.1182356    1.301484
            2013  |   .4269291   .3587282     1.19   0.234    -.2761653    1.130023
            2014  |   .5216192   .3664132     1.42   0.155    -.1965376    1.239776
                  |
            _cons |  -8.388246   1.558923    -5.38   0.000    -11.44368   -5.332813
------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
Major             |
             mmxx |   .0450316   .0285651     1.58   0.115     -.010955    .1010183
              lxx |   .0713542   .0270107     2.64   0.008     .0184142    .1242941
       wzmin2majx |   .5682708   .2503325     2.27   0.023     .0776282    1.058913
    v2x_polyarchy |   2.255649   .8585942     2.63   0.009     .5728354    3.938463
         cpi_pchg |  -.0001448   .0003225    -0.45   0.653    -.0007768    .0004873
unempl_youthm_ilo |  -.0097104   .0172296    -0.56   0.573    -.0434799     .024059
     max_couprisk |    67.2736   14.21125     4.73   0.000     39.42007    95.12713
             zpop |   7.63e-10   4.56e-10     1.67   0.094    -1.31e-10    1.66e-09
        ezmajpctx |  -.0114178   .0147653    -0.77   0.439    -.0403573    .0175218
          minpctx |   .0224669   .0200401     1.12   0.262    -.0168109    .0617447
    fraction_rasm |   -3.63425   4.277237    -0.85   0.396    -12.01748     4.74898
    polarize_rasm |   2.085964   2.570376     0.81   0.417    -2.951881    7.123809
  shared_religion |   .4128269   .4151557     0.99   0.320    -.4008633    1.226517
                  |
             year |
            1992  |  -.0213225    .068194    -0.31   0.755    -.1549803    .1123352
            1993  |   .0682431   .0992189     0.69   0.492    -.1262225    .2627086
            1994  |   .1771034   .1249175     1.42   0.156    -.0677303    .4219371
            1995  |   .2289289   .1338974     1.71   0.087    -.0335051    .4913629
            1996  |   .1229107    .117386     1.05   0.295    -.1071617    .3529831
            1997  |   .1220239   .1180377     1.03   0.301    -.1093257    .3533735
            1998  |   .2277346   .1439587     1.58   0.114    -.0544192    .5098884
            1999  |   .1655572   .1472261     1.12   0.261    -.1230007    .4541151
            2000  |   .1454971   .1491538     0.98   0.329    -.1468389    .4378331
            2001  |   .2344369   .1638237     1.43   0.152    -.0866517    .5555255
            2002  |   .1849242   .1769342     1.05   0.296    -.1618604    .5317089
            2003  |   .2554348   .1735562     1.47   0.141    -.0847291    .5955987
            2004  |    .354829   .1947907     1.82   0.069    -.0269536    .7366117
            2005  |   .3312017   .1923101     1.72   0.085    -.0457191    .7081225
            2006  |   .4053754   .1965243     2.06   0.039     .0201949    .7905559
            2007  |   .4365738   .2039819     2.14   0.032     .0367767     .836371
            2008  |   .3199165   .2111687     1.51   0.130    -.0939665    .7337995
            2009  |   .3100167   .2150516     1.44   0.149    -.1114767    .7315102
            2010  |   .2914078   .2396438     1.22   0.224    -.1782855     .761101
            2011  |   .2633527   .2387932     1.10   0.270    -.2046733    .7313787
            2012  |   .3316169   .2434292     1.36   0.173    -.1454956    .8087295
            2013  |   .2950256   .2404181     1.23   0.220    -.1761852    .7662364
            2014  |    .202315   .2377932     0.85   0.395    -.2637511    .6683812
                  |
            _cons |  -5.537665    1.43293    -3.86   0.000    -8.346157   -2.729173
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. 
. * Model 2 Marginal Effects, Violence *

. 
. margins, dydx(mmxx wzmin2majx cpi_pchg unempl_youthm_ilo max_couprisk v2x_polyarchy lxx) predict(outcome(3))

Average marginal effects                                Number of obs = 15,382
Model VCE: Robust

Expression: Pr(wzsocdis25x==Major), predict(outcome(3))
dy/dx wrt:  mmxx lxx wzmin2majx v2x_polyarchy cpi_pchg unempl_youthm_ilo max_couprisk

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                  |            Delta-method
                  |      dy/dx   std. err.      z    P>|z|     [95% conf. interval]
------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
             mmxx |   .0015429   .0010743     1.44   0.151    -.0005627    .0036485
              lxx |   .0026452   .0010538     2.51   0.012     .0005798    .0047106
       wzmin2majx |   .0192397   .0090007     2.14   0.033     .0015986    .0368809
    v2x_polyarchy |    .076951   .0333879     2.30   0.021     .0115119    .1423901
         cpi_pchg |  -1.41e-06   .0000124    -0.11   0.909    -.0000257    .0000229
unempl_youthm_ilo |  -.0003819   .0006301    -0.61   0.544    -.0016169    .0008531
     max_couprisk |   2.410334   .6088584     3.96   0.000     1.216994    3.603675
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. 
. * Model 2 Marginal Probabilities, Violence *

. 
. margins, at(mmxx=(0 2 24)) predict(outcome(3))

Predictive margins                                      Number of obs = 15,382
Model VCE: Robust

Expression: Pr(wzsocdis25x==Major), predict(outcome(3))
1._at: mmxx =  0
2._at: mmxx =  2
3._at: mmxx = 24

------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |            Delta-method
             |     Margin   std. err.      z    P>|z|     [95% conf. interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
         _at |
          1  |   .0312665   .0078056     4.01   0.000     .0159678    .0465652
          2  |   .0337608   .0072295     4.67   0.000     .0195913    .0479303
          3  |   .0759818   .0344572     2.21   0.027     .0084469    .1435168
------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. 
. margins, at(wzmin2majx=(0 3 6)) predict(outcome(3))

Predictive margins                                      Number of obs = 15,382
Model VCE: Robust

Expression: Pr(wzsocdis25x==Major), predict(outcome(3))
1._at: wzmin2majx = 0
2._at: wzmin2majx = 3
3._at: wzmin2majx = 6

------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |            Delta-method
             |     Margin   std. err.      z    P>|z|     [95% conf. interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
         _at |
          1  |   .0376369   .0067665     5.56   0.000     .0243748     .050899
          2  |   .1372877   .0721947     1.90   0.057    -.0042114    .2787868
          3  |   .2696975   .2004126     1.35   0.178    -.1231041     .662499
------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. 
. margins, at(cpi_pchg=(0.060 4.827 43.073)) predict(outcome(3))

Predictive margins                                      Number of obs = 15,382
Model VCE: Robust

Expression: Pr(wzsocdis25x==Major), predict(outcome(3))
1._at: cpi_pchg =    .06
2._at: cpi_pchg =  4.827
3._at: cpi_pchg = 43.073

------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |            Delta-method
             |     Margin   std. err.      z    P>|z|     [95% conf. interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
         _at |
          1  |   .0419276   .0069534     6.03   0.000     .0282992     .055556
          2  |   .0419211   .0069522     6.03   0.000      .028295    .0555471
          3  |   .0418646   .0069599     6.02   0.000     .0282236    .0555057
------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. 
. margins, at(unempl_youthm_ilo=(2.425 15.803 39.835)) predict(outcome(3))

Predictive margins                                      Number of obs = 15,382
Model VCE: Robust

Expression: Pr(wzsocdis25x==Major), predict(outcome(3))
1._at: unempl_youthm_~o =  2.425
2._at: unempl_youthm_~o = 15.803
3._at: unempl_youthm_~o = 39.835

------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |            Delta-method
             |     Margin   std. err.      z    P>|z|     [95% conf. interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
         _at |
          1  |   .0471562   .0120388     3.92   0.000     .0235605    .0707519
          2  |   .0417938   .0069466     6.02   0.000     .0281787    .0554088
          3  |   .0333905   .0135842     2.46   0.014     .0067661     .060015
------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. 
. margins, at(max_couprisk=(0.00003 0.0017 0.0119)) predict(outcome(3))

Predictive margins                                      Number of obs = 15,382
Model VCE: Robust

Expression: Pr(wzsocdis25x==Major), predict(outcome(3))
1._at: max_couprisk = .00003
2._at: max_couprisk =  .0017
3._at: max_couprisk =  .0119

------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |            Delta-method
             |     Margin   std. err.      z    P>|z|     [95% conf. interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
         _at |
          1  |   .0350915   .0061231     5.73   0.000     .0230904    .0470925
          2  |      .0387   .0065875     5.87   0.000     .0257886    .0516113
          3  |   .0692258   .0130139     5.32   0.000     .0437191    .0947325
------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. 
. margins, at(v2x_polyarchy=(0.095 0.532 0.892)) predict(outcome(3))

Predictive margins                                      Number of obs = 15,382
Model VCE: Robust

Expression: Pr(wzsocdis25x==Major), predict(outcome(3))
1._at: v2x_polyarchy = .095
2._at: v2x_polyarchy = .532
3._at: v2x_polyarchy = .892

------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |            Delta-method
             |     Margin   std. err.      z    P>|z|     [95% conf. interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
         _at |
          1  |   .0203486   .0065268     3.12   0.002     .0075563    .0331408
          2  |   .0446568   .0074306     6.01   0.000     .0300932    .0592205
          3  |   .0807307   .0233939     3.45   0.001     .0348795    .1265818
------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. 
. margins, at(lxx=(3 7 29)) predict(outcome(3))

Predictive margins                                      Number of obs = 15,382
Model VCE: Robust

Expression: Pr(wzsocdis25x==Major), predict(outcome(3))
1._at: lxx =  3
2._at: lxx =  7
3._at: lxx = 29

------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |            Delta-method
             |     Margin   std. err.      z    P>|z|     [95% conf. interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
         _at |
          1  |   .0213348   .0061399     3.47   0.001     .0093007    .0333689
          2  |   .0280948   .0060749     4.62   0.000     .0161882    .0400015
          3  |    .115839   .0485996     2.38   0.017     .0205855    .2110925
------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. 
. * MODEL 3 - Violence v Minorities *

. 
. mlogit wzsocdis23x mmxx lxx wzmin2majx v2x_polyarchy cpi_pchg unempl_youthm_ilo max_couprisk zpop ezmajpctx minpctx fraction_rasm polarize_rasm share
> d_religion i.year, vce(cluster group_cow)

Iteration 0:  Log pseudolikelihood =  -2178.876  
Iteration 1:  Log pseudolikelihood = -1999.9305  
Iteration 2:  Log pseudolikelihood =  -1727.386  
Iteration 3:  Log pseudolikelihood = -1695.8628  
Iteration 4:  Log pseudolikelihood = -1544.9133  
Iteration 5:  Log pseudolikelihood = -1528.3926  
Iteration 6:  Log pseudolikelihood = -1528.0954  
Iteration 7:  Log pseudolikelihood =  -1528.094  
Iteration 8:  Log pseudolikelihood =  -1528.094  

Multinomial logistic regression                         Number of obs = 15,382
                                                        Wald chi2(70) =      .
                                                        Prob > chi2   =      .
Log pseudolikelihood = -1528.094                        Pseudo R2     = 0.2987

                                 (Std. err. adjusted for 701 clusters in group_cow)
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                  |               Robust
      wzsocdis23x | Coefficient  std. err.      z    P>|z|     [95% conf. interval]
------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
None              |  (base outcome)
------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
Minor             |
             mmxx |   .1309831   .0322583     4.06   0.000      .067758    .1942082
              lxx |  -.0230516   .0389586    -0.59   0.554     -.099409    .0533058
       wzmin2majx |   .6107011   .2517047     2.43   0.015      .117369    1.104033
    v2x_polyarchy |   2.898305   1.282849     2.26   0.024     .3839672    5.412642
         cpi_pchg |  -.0024425   .0023493    -1.04   0.298    -.0070469     .002162
unempl_youthm_ilo |  -.0005801    .039127    -0.01   0.988    -.0772676    .0761074
     max_couprisk |   87.45774    30.6733     2.85   0.004     27.33918    147.5763
             zpop |   3.77e-10   5.82e-10     0.65   0.518    -7.64e-10    1.52e-09
        ezmajpctx |   .0302811   .0162988     1.86   0.063     -.001664    .0622263
          minpctx |   .0010248   .0400554     0.03   0.980    -.0774824     .079532
    fraction_rasm |   5.819447   2.574242     2.26   0.024     .7740255    10.86487
    polarize_rasm |  -2.524591   2.012821    -1.25   0.210    -6.469648    1.420466
  shared_religion |   1.397988   .7895107     1.77   0.077    -.1494244    2.945401
                  |
             year |
            1992  |   .3121822   .4307178     0.72   0.469    -.5320093    1.156374
            1993  |   .1244194   .1925306     0.65   0.518    -.2529336    .5017724
            1994  |   .2097491   .2538271     0.83   0.409    -.2877429    .7072411
            1995  |   1.106513   .5411474     2.04   0.041     .0458834    2.167142
            1996  |    .662903   .5135518     1.29   0.197    -.3436399    1.669446
            1997  |   .6974676   .5251132     1.33   0.184    -.3317354    1.726671
            1998  |   .4685764   .4566439     1.03   0.305    -.4264291    1.363582
            1999  |   .9125822   .5547203     1.65   0.100    -.1746497    1.999814
            2000  |   .8747248   .5735989     1.52   0.127    -.2495083    1.998958
            2001  |   1.247523   .6038446     2.07   0.039     .0640093    2.431037
            2002  |   .9297198   .6213457     1.50   0.135    -.2880954    2.147535
            2003  |   .6740094   .5146766     1.31   0.190    -.3347381    1.682757
            2004  |   1.235321   .5985137     2.06   0.039     .0622559    2.408387
            2005  |   1.082528   .5928326     1.83   0.068    -.0794022    2.244459
            2006  |   1.048055   .6761954     1.55   0.121    -.2772632    2.373374
            2007  |   .3674192   .6372318     0.58   0.564    -.8815321     1.61637
            2008  |   .3346225   .6428403     0.52   0.603    -.9253212    1.594566
            2009  |   .5131693   .6130587     0.84   0.403    -.6884038    1.714742
            2010  |   1.295825   .6741963     1.92   0.055     -.025576    2.617225
            2011  |   1.104775   .6440159     1.72   0.086    -.1574728    2.367023
            2012  |    1.30043   .6477827     2.01   0.045     .0307995    2.570061
            2013  |   1.031999   .6476398     1.59   0.111    -.2373517     2.30135
            2014  |   .6121342   .6231489     0.98   0.326    -.6092152    1.833484
                  |
            _cons |  -11.88202   2.498594    -4.76   0.000    -16.77917   -6.984861
------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
Major             |
             mmxx |   .0696769   .0325689     2.14   0.032     .0058431    .1335107
              lxx |   .0542217   .0386109     1.40   0.160    -.0214543    .1298976
       wzmin2majx |   .7932426   .2284973     3.47   0.001      .345396    1.241089
    v2x_polyarchy |   .0322121   1.268861     0.03   0.980    -2.454709    2.519134
         cpi_pchg |   .0001895   .0000451     4.21   0.000     .0001012    .0002778
unempl_youthm_ilo |   .0010979   .0294108     0.04   0.970    -.0565462    .0587421
     max_couprisk |   107.1237     16.905     6.34   0.000      73.9905    140.2569
             zpop |   1.06e-09   5.36e-10     1.98   0.048     9.23e-12    2.11e-09
        ezmajpctx |   .0284505   .0150927     1.89   0.059    -.0011307    .0580318
          minpctx |  -.0030127   .0234633    -0.13   0.898    -.0489999    .0429745
    fraction_rasm |   4.948509   3.659275     1.35   0.176    -2.223539    12.12056
    polarize_rasm |    .918037   2.602181     0.35   0.724    -4.182145    6.018219
  shared_religion |     .99316   .5754382     1.73   0.084    -.1346783    2.120998
                  |
             year |
            1992  |  -.0222332   .1418868    -0.16   0.875    -.3003262    .2558597
            1993  |   .0777306   .1499922     0.52   0.604    -.2162488      .37171
            1994  |    .270023   .1488283     1.81   0.070    -.0216752    .5617212
            1995  |   .3215599   .2055813     1.56   0.118     -.081372    .7244919
            1996  |   .1414505   .1734655     0.82   0.415    -.1985356    .4814366
            1997  |   .1860378   .1799435     1.03   0.301     -.166645    .5387207
            1998  |   .3832579    .203442     1.88   0.060    -.0154812     .781997
            1999  |   .1804806   .1894437     0.95   0.341    -.1908223    .5517834
            2000  |   .2798908   .2147416     1.30   0.192    -.1409949    .7007765
            2001  |   .3473544   .2089622     1.66   0.096     -.062204    .7569128
            2002  |   .4038675   .3168501     1.27   0.202    -.2171472    1.024882
            2003  |   .3839729   .2223125     1.73   0.084    -.0517516    .8196974
            2004  |    .699588   .2574354     2.72   0.007     .1950239    1.204152
            2005  |   .6453479     .24572     2.63   0.009     .1637455     1.12695
            2006  |      .7432   .2794899     2.66   0.008       .19541     1.29099
            2007  |   .6717087   .2725412     2.46   0.014     .1375378     1.20588
            2008  |   .6272967   .2716371     2.31   0.021     .0948978    1.159696
            2009  |   .5318721    .289396     1.84   0.066    -.0353336    1.099078
            2010  |   .8464061   .2754967     3.07   0.002     .3064425     1.38637
            2011  |   .7707094     .27654     2.79   0.005      .228701    1.312718
            2012  |   .4706212   .3115465     1.51   0.131    -.1399987    1.081241
            2013  |   .5944873   .3240292     1.83   0.067    -.0405984    1.229573
            2014  |   .5444248    .329176     1.65   0.098    -.1007483    1.189598
                  |
            _cons |    -11.369   1.166366    -9.75   0.000    -13.65504   -9.082966
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. 
. * Model 3 Marginal Effects, Violence *

. 
. margins, dydx(mmxx wzmin2majx cpi_pchg unempl_youthm_ilo max_couprisk v2x_polyarchy lxx) predict(outcome(3))

Average marginal effects                                Number of obs = 15,382
Model VCE: Robust

Expression: Pr(wzsocdis23x==Major), predict(outcome(3))
dy/dx wrt:  mmxx lxx wzmin2majx v2x_polyarchy cpi_pchg unempl_youthm_ilo max_couprisk

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                  |            Delta-method
                  |      dy/dx   std. err.      z    P>|z|     [95% conf. interval]
------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
             mmxx |   .0009972   .0005879     1.70   0.090    -.0001551    .0021495
              lxx |   .0008556   .0006068     1.41   0.159    -.0003337    .0020448
       wzmin2majx |   .0119131   .0039476     3.02   0.003      .004176    .0196503
    v2x_polyarchy |  -.0013449   .0196598    -0.07   0.945    -.0398775    .0371877
         cpi_pchg |   4.49e-06   2.12e-06     2.12   0.034     3.44e-07    8.64e-06
unempl_youthm_ilo |   .0000174   .0004563     0.04   0.970    -.0008769    .0009117
     max_couprisk |   1.605642   .4438651     3.62   0.000     .7356823    2.475602
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. 
. * Model 3 Marginal Probabilities, Violence *

. 
. margins, at(mmxx=(0 2 24)) predict(outcome(3))

Predictive margins                                      Number of obs = 15,382
Model VCE: Robust

Expression: Pr(wzsocdis23x==Major), predict(outcome(3))
1._at: mmxx =  0
2._at: mmxx =  2
3._at: mmxx = 24

------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |            Delta-method
             |     Margin   std. err.      z    P>|z|     [95% conf. interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
         _at |
          1  |   .0111964    .003352     3.34   0.001     .0046267    .0177662
          2  |    .012477   .0033068     3.77   0.000     .0059957    .0189582
          3  |   .0376076   .0180049     2.09   0.037     .0023186    .0728966
------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. 
. margins, at(wzmin2majx=(0 3 6)) predict(outcome(3))

Predictive margins                                      Number of obs = 15,382
Model VCE: Robust

Expression: Pr(wzsocdis23x==Major), predict(outcome(3))
1._at: wzmin2majx = 0
2._at: wzmin2majx = 3
3._at: wzmin2majx = 6

------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |            Delta-method
             |     Margin   std. err.      z    P>|z|     [95% conf. interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
         _at |
          1  |    .015054   .0043055     3.50   0.000     .0066154    .0234925
          2  |   .0911841   .0403795     2.26   0.024     .0120417    .1703265
          3  |   .3256816   .2033795     1.60   0.109    -.0729349    .7242981
------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. 
. margins, at(cpi_pchg=(0.060 4.827 43.073)) predict(outcome(3))

Predictive margins                                      Number of obs = 15,382
Model VCE: Robust

Expression: Pr(wzsocdis23x==Major), predict(outcome(3))
1._at: cpi_pchg =    .06
2._at: cpi_pchg =  4.827
3._at: cpi_pchg = 43.073

------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |            Delta-method
             |     Margin   std. err.      z    P>|z|     [95% conf. interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
         _at |
          1  |   .0196642   .0045563     4.32   0.000     .0107341    .0285943
          2  |   .0196859     .00456     4.32   0.000     .0107485    .0286232
          3  |   .0198577   .0045898     4.33   0.000     .0108618    .0288536
------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. 
. margins, at(unempl_youthm_ilo=(2.425 15.803 39.835)) predict(outcome(3))

Predictive margins                                      Number of obs = 15,382
Model VCE: Robust

Expression: Pr(wzsocdis23x==Major), predict(outcome(3))
1._at: unempl_youthm_~o =  2.425
2._at: unempl_youthm_~o = 15.803
3._at: unempl_youthm_~o = 39.835

------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |            Delta-method
             |     Margin   std. err.      z    P>|z|     [95% conf. interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
         _at |
          1  |   .0195613    .007277     2.69   0.007     .0052986    .0338239
          2  |   .0197931   .0045717     4.33   0.000     .0108328    .0287534
          3  |   .0202157   .0124521     1.62   0.104      -.00419    .0446214
------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. 
. margins, at(max_couprisk=(0.00003 0.0017 0.0119)) predict(outcome(3))

Predictive margins                                      Number of obs = 15,382
Model VCE: Robust

Expression: Pr(wzsocdis23x==Major), predict(outcome(3))
1._at: max_couprisk = .00003
2._at: max_couprisk =  .0017
3._at: max_couprisk =  .0119

------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |            Delta-method
             |     Margin   std. err.      z    P>|z|     [95% conf. interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
         _at |
          1  |   .0139953   .0034345     4.07   0.000     .0072638    .0207268
          2  |   .0161163    .003867     4.17   0.000     .0085371    .0236954
          3  |   .0365859   .0090012     4.06   0.000     .0189439    .0542279
------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. 
. margins, at(v2x_polyarchy=(0.095 0.532 0.892)) predict(outcome(3))

Predictive margins                                      Number of obs = 15,382
Model VCE: Robust

Expression: Pr(wzsocdis23x==Major), predict(outcome(3))
1._at: v2x_polyarchy = .095
2._at: v2x_polyarchy = .532
3._at: v2x_polyarchy = .892

------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |            Delta-method
             |     Margin   std. err.      z    P>|z|     [95% conf. interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
         _at |
          1  |    .019921   .0061305     3.25   0.001     .0079055    .0319366
          2  |    .019281   .0061699     3.13   0.002     .0071883    .0313737
          3  |   .0179804   .0117321     1.53   0.125    -.0050141     .040975
------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. 
. margins, at(lxx=(3 7 29)) predict(outcome(3))

Predictive margins                                      Number of obs = 15,382
Model VCE: Robust

Expression: Pr(wzsocdis23x==Major), predict(outcome(3))
1._at: lxx =  3
2._at: lxx =  7
3._at: lxx = 29

------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |            Delta-method
             |     Margin   std. err.      z    P>|z|     [95% conf. interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
         _at |
          1  |     .01006   .0051231     1.96   0.050      .000019    .0201011
          2  |   .0121836   .0047758     2.55   0.011     .0028232     .021544
          3  |   .0329547   .0144149     2.29   0.022      .004702    .0612074
------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. 
. ******************************************************

. * Site Targeting Paper, Robustness Checks on Model 1 *

. ******************************************************

. 
. * Substitute Polity for VDem

. 
. mlogit wzsocdis_sitetargeting_alt mmxx lxx wzmin2majx zpolity2 cpi_pchg unempl_youthm_ilo max_couprisk zpop ezmajpctx minpctx fraction_rasm polarize_
> rasm shared_religion i.year, vce(cluster group_cow) nolog

Multinomial logistic regression                        Number of obs  = 15,097
                                                       Wald chi2(107) =      .
                                                       Prob > chi2    =      .
Log pseudolikelihood = -8155.1368                      Pseudo R2      = 0.1175

                                 (Std. err. adjusted for 686 clusters in group_cow)
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                  |               Robust
wzsocdis_siteta~t | Coefficient  std. err.      z    P>|z|     [95% conf. interval]
------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
0                 |  (base outcome)
------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
1                 |
             mmxx |    .056943   .0219901     2.59   0.010     .0138432    .1000428
              lxx |  -.0172191   .0292641    -0.59   0.556    -.0745756    .0401374
       wzmin2majx |    .424322   .2296624     1.85   0.065    -.0258081     .874452
         zpolity2 |   .1283494   .0312278     4.11   0.000      .067144    .1895547
         cpi_pchg |    .000169   .0000534     3.16   0.002     .0000643    .0002737
unempl_youthm_ilo |   .0163134   .0127432     1.28   0.200    -.0086628    .0412895
     max_couprisk |  -95.18086   80.65097    -1.18   0.238    -253.2538    62.89213
             zpop |  -2.14e-10   5.70e-10    -0.38   0.707    -1.33e-09    9.03e-10
        ezmajpctx |    .011218    .013143     0.85   0.393    -.0145419    .0369779
          minpctx |   .0141208   .0206705     0.68   0.495    -.0263926    .0546341
    fraction_rasm |   3.259365   4.148451     0.79   0.432    -4.871451    11.39018
    polarize_rasm |  -2.077316   2.660764    -0.78   0.435    -7.292317    3.137685
  shared_religion |  -.9181954   .4350755    -2.11   0.035    -1.770928   -.0654632
                  |
             year |
            1992  |   .0092989   .1097138     0.08   0.932    -.2057363    .2243341
            1993  |   .0376393   .1369906     0.27   0.784    -.2308573    .3061358
            1994  |   -.010146    .143194    -0.07   0.944    -.2908011    .2705091
            1995  |   .0571293   .1637366     0.35   0.727    -.2637886    .3780472
            1996  |   .0677465   .1611423     0.42   0.674    -.2480866    .3835796
            1997  |   .1797199   .1951019     0.92   0.357    -.2026729    .5621126
            1998  |   .1698609   .1959893     0.87   0.386    -.2142711    .5539929
            1999  |   .1285321   .1804083     0.71   0.476    -.2250617    .4821259
            2000  |   .2178389   .1817694     1.20   0.231    -.1384226    .5741003
            2001  |   .1747634   .1875951     0.93   0.352    -.1929162     .542443
            2002  |   .2076076   .2093759     0.99   0.321    -.2027617    .6179769
            2003  |    .165151   .2038883     0.81   0.418    -.2344627    .5647646
            2004  |   .2675029   .2247545     1.19   0.234    -.1730079    .7080137
            2005  |   .2308102   .2321257     0.99   0.320    -.2241478    .6857683
            2006  |   .3344615    .239941     1.39   0.163    -.1358143    .8047373
            2007  |   .3020817   .2464111     1.23   0.220    -.1808753    .7850386
            2008  |   .3628683   .2525535     1.44   0.151    -.1321276    .8578641
            2009  |   .2711466   .2295753     1.18   0.238    -.1788127    .7211059
            2010  |   .3367997   .2348747     1.43   0.152    -.1235462    .7971457
            2011  |   .2345189   .2371547     0.99   0.323    -.2302959    .6993336
            2012  |   .4155659   .2358165     1.76   0.078     -.046626    .8777577
            2013  |   .3631661   .2488883     1.46   0.145    -.1246459    .8509782
            2014  |   .2339282   .2220025     1.05   0.292    -.2011887     .669045
                  |
            _cons |  -4.481173    1.14481    -3.91   0.000    -6.724959   -2.237387
------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
2                 |
             mmxx |   .1084861   .0200417     5.41   0.000      .069205    .1477672
              lxx |  -.0271098   .0206685    -1.31   0.190    -.0676194    .0133997
       wzmin2majx |   .5674466    .203517     2.79   0.005     .1685605    .9663326
         zpolity2 |   .1309693   .0343126     3.82   0.000     .0637179    .1982208
         cpi_pchg |   .0001548   .0000476     3.25   0.001     .0000614    .0002482
unempl_youthm_ilo |   .0273722   .0098703     2.77   0.006     .0080268    .0467176
     max_couprisk |  -79.58057   41.49635    -1.92   0.055    -160.9119    1.750785
             zpop |   5.29e-10   6.56e-10     0.81   0.420    -7.58e-10    1.82e-09
        ezmajpctx |  -.0028877   .0116292    -0.25   0.804    -.0256805    .0199052
          minpctx |   .0353118   .0183162     1.93   0.054    -.0005873    .0712108
    fraction_rasm |   2.822153    2.74751     1.03   0.304    -2.562867    8.207173
    polarize_rasm |  -2.238681   1.806007    -1.24   0.215    -5.778389    1.301027
  shared_religion |   -.554236   .3510628    -1.58   0.114    -1.242306    .1338343
                  |
             year |
            1992  |  -.0566819   .0971981    -0.58   0.560    -.2471867    .1338229
            1993  |  -.0322928   .1100669    -0.29   0.769    -.2480198    .1834343
            1994  |  -.1108175   .1300415    -0.85   0.394    -.3656942    .1440591
            1995  |   .0093216   .1483846     0.06   0.950    -.2815068    .3001501
            1996  |  -.0786909    .140361    -0.56   0.575    -.3537934    .1964116
            1997  |   -.040186   .1470826    -0.27   0.785    -.3284626    .2480906
            1998  |   .0719322   .1733119     0.42   0.678    -.2677528    .4116173
            1999  |  -.0346508     .15836    -0.22   0.827    -.3450306    .2757291
            2000  |  -.0287937   .1751828    -0.16   0.869    -.3721457    .3145583
            2001  |   .0671647   .1901041     0.35   0.724    -.3054326     .439762
            2002  |  -.0662423   .2012148    -0.33   0.742     -.460616    .3281313
            2003  |  -.0197626   .1917606    -0.10   0.918    -.3956065    .3560812
            2004  |  -.0294673   .1941804    -0.15   0.879    -.4100539    .3511194
            2005  |  -.0847581   .1972091    -0.43   0.667    -.4712807    .3017646
            2006  |   .1012604   .2137851     0.47   0.636    -.3177507    .5202715
            2007  |  -.0230234    .213483    -0.11   0.914    -.4414424    .3953955
            2008  |   -.100157   .2100344    -0.48   0.633    -.5118168    .3115028
            2009  |   .0396928   .2035133     0.20   0.845    -.3591859    .4385715
            2010  |   .1119729   .2206999     0.51   0.612    -.3205909    .5445366
            2011  |   .0734708    .213132     0.34   0.730    -.3442601    .4912018
            2012  |   .0574238   .2092996     0.27   0.784     -.352796    .4676435
            2013  |   -.038456   .2128296    -0.18   0.857    -.4555943    .3786823
            2014  |   .0712624    .208706     0.34   0.733    -.3377938    .4803186
                  |
            _cons |   -3.65173   1.060232    -3.44   0.001    -5.729747   -1.573713
------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
3                 |
             mmxx |   .0605771   .0315695     1.92   0.055    -.0012981    .1224523
              lxx |   .0644226   .0284951     2.26   0.024     .0085732    .1202719
       wzmin2majx |   .6373543   .2692217     2.37   0.018     .1096895    1.165019
         zpolity2 |   .1041286   .0316929     3.29   0.001     .0420117    .1662455
         cpi_pchg |  -.0000852   .0002707    -0.31   0.753    -.0006157    .0004452
unempl_youthm_ilo |  -.0128874   .0175078    -0.74   0.462    -.0472021    .0214274
     max_couprisk |   55.43573    14.8993     3.72   0.000     26.23363    84.63782
             zpop |   6.02e-10   4.84e-10     1.24   0.214    -3.47e-10    1.55e-09
        ezmajpctx |  -.0129908   .0149038    -0.87   0.383    -.0422016    .0162201
          minpctx |    .025061   .0207182     1.21   0.226    -.0155459    .0656679
    fraction_rasm |  -4.943288   4.551766    -1.09   0.277    -13.86459     3.97801
    polarize_rasm |   2.486918   2.781485     0.89   0.371    -2.964692    7.938528
  shared_religion |    .373206   .4315446     0.86   0.387     -.472606    1.219018
                  |
             year |
            1992  |  -.0826111   .0696521    -1.19   0.236    -.2191266    .0539044
            1993  |    .062753   .0939658     0.67   0.504    -.1214166    .2469226
            1994  |   .1133861   .1230915     0.92   0.357    -.1278688    .3546411
            1995  |   .1787438    .132354     1.35   0.177    -.0806652    .4381528
            1996  |   .0946229   .1139795     0.83   0.406    -.1287728    .3180187
            1997  |    .075869   .1172174     0.65   0.517    -.1538729    .3056108
            1998  |    .199015   .1462732     1.36   0.174    -.0876751    .4857051
            1999  |   .1512231   .1539472     0.98   0.326    -.1505078    .4529541
            2000  |    .138059   .1466133     0.94   0.346    -.1492978    .4254157
            2001  |   .2150623   .1657004     1.30   0.194    -.1097046    .5398291
            2002  |    .183371   .1707936     1.07   0.283    -.1513784    .5181203
            2003  |    .246116   .1764408     1.39   0.163    -.0997016    .5919336
            2004  |   .3624313   .1984746     1.83   0.068    -.0265718    .7514344
            2005  |   .3440824   .1969473     1.75   0.081    -.0419272     .730092
            2006  |   .3938008   .1994282     1.97   0.048     .0029287     .784673
            2007  |   .4075755   .2052566     1.99   0.047       .00528     .809871
            2008  |   .2773905   .2127451     1.30   0.192    -.1395823    .6943634
            2009  |   .2719757   .2170088     1.25   0.210    -.1533538    .6973051
            2010  |   .2600952   .2421786     1.07   0.283     -.214566    .7347565
            2011  |   .2169708   .2423627     0.90   0.371    -.2580514     .691993
            2012  |   .3102441   .2467106     1.26   0.209    -.1732999     .793788
            2013  |   .2578745   .2469564     1.04   0.296    -.2261512    .7419001
            2014  |   .1428866   .2422653     0.59   0.555    -.3319447    .6177178
                  |
            _cons |  -4.223808   1.279473    -3.30   0.001     -6.73153   -1.716086
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. 
. * Substitute Polity and Polity-squared for VDem

. 
. mlogit wzsocdis_sitetargeting_alt mmxx lxx wzmin2majx zpolity2 zpolity2_sq cpi_pchg unempl_youthm_ilo max_couprisk zpop ezmajpctx minpctx fraction_ra
> sm polarize_rasm shared_religion i.year, vce(cluster group_cow) nolog

Multinomial logistic regression                        Number of obs  = 15,097
                                                       Wald chi2(110) =      .
                                                       Prob > chi2    =      .
Log pseudolikelihood = -8133.3036                      Pseudo R2      = 0.1198

                                 (Std. err. adjusted for 686 clusters in group_cow)
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                  |               Robust
wzsocdis_siteta~t | Coefficient  std. err.      z    P>|z|     [95% conf. interval]
------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
0                 |  (base outcome)
------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
1                 |
             mmxx |   .0575181    .022079     2.61   0.009      .014244    .1007922
              lxx |  -.0183071   .0301512    -0.61   0.544    -.0774024    .0407881
       wzmin2majx |   .4195528   .2270618     1.85   0.065    -.0254802    .8645858
         zpolity2 |   .1222409   .0329663     3.71   0.000     .0576282    .1868536
      zpolity2_sq |   .0015303   .0051829     0.30   0.768    -.0086279    .0116886
         cpi_pchg |   .0001655   .0000526     3.15   0.002     .0000624    .0002686
unempl_youthm_ilo |   .0165047   .0128376     1.29   0.199    -.0086565    .0416659
     max_couprisk |  -88.54559   75.51414    -1.17   0.241    -236.5506     59.4594
             zpop |  -2.25e-10   5.68e-10    -0.40   0.692    -1.34e-09    8.89e-10
        ezmajpctx |   .0115257   .0136516     0.84   0.399    -.0152309    .0382823
          minpctx |   .0143198    .020672     0.69   0.488    -.0261967    .0548362
    fraction_rasm |   3.378284   4.235571     0.80   0.425    -4.923283    11.67985
    polarize_rasm |  -2.139735   2.687235    -0.80   0.426    -7.406619     3.12715
  shared_religion |  -.9138781   .4328615    -2.11   0.035    -1.762271   -.0654851
                  |
             year |
            1992  |     .00944   .1096938     0.09   0.931    -.2055559    .2244359
            1993  |   .0453803   .1338043     0.34   0.734    -.2168714    .3076319
            1994  |    -.00068    .140329    -0.00   0.996    -.2757198    .2743597
            1995  |   .0709399   .1573424     0.45   0.652    -.2374456    .3793254
            1996  |   .0787291   .1559942     0.50   0.614     -.227014    .3844721
            1997  |   .1936857   .1914513     1.01   0.312    -.1815519    .5689233
            1998  |   .1878266   .1927472     0.97   0.330     -.189951    .5656042
            1999  |   .1447253    .176061     0.82   0.411     -.200348    .4897985
            2000  |   .2339023   .1777775     1.32   0.188    -.1145352    .5823399
            2001  |   .1923026   .1834638     1.05   0.295    -.1672799    .5518852
            2002  |    .228031   .2090581     1.09   0.275    -.1817153    .6377773
            2003  |   .1826933   .2082432     0.88   0.380    -.2254558    .5908424
            2004  |   .2851114   .2172159     1.31   0.189    -.1406239    .7108467
            2005  |   .2506783   .2239902     1.12   0.263    -.1883345     .689691
            2006  |   .3536383   .2344703     1.51   0.131     -.105915    .8131917
            2007  |   .3244643   .2388544     1.36   0.174    -.1436817    .7926103
            2008  |   .3864322   .2432786     1.59   0.112    -.0903851    .8632494
            2009  |   .2909381   .2261923     1.29   0.198    -.1523905    .7342668
            2010  |   .3593315   .2249826     1.60   0.110    -.0816262    .8002892
            2011  |   .2574662   .2268814     1.13   0.256    -.1872132    .7021457
            2012  |   .4376576   .2285344     1.92   0.055    -.0102615    .8855768
            2013  |   .3877489   .2406117     1.61   0.107    -.0838414    .8593392
            2014  |   .2542633   .2155648     1.18   0.238    -.1682358    .6767625
                  |
            _cons |  -4.598293   1.317722    -3.49   0.000    -7.180982   -2.015605
------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
2                 |
             mmxx |   .1092468   .0200468     5.45   0.000     .0699558    .1485378
              lxx |  -.0261391   .0206007    -1.27   0.204    -.0665158    .0142376
       wzmin2majx |   .5590197   .2031661     2.75   0.006     .1608215    .9572178
         zpolity2 |   .1364875   .0383959     3.55   0.000     .0612329    .2117421
      zpolity2_sq |     -.0016   .0046094    -0.35   0.729    -.0106343    .0074343
         cpi_pchg |   .0001553   .0000485     3.20   0.001     .0000603    .0002503
unempl_youthm_ilo |    .027176   .0097218     2.80   0.005     .0081217    .0462303
     max_couprisk |  -83.03532   35.11503    -2.36   0.018    -151.8595   -14.21113
             zpop |   5.42e-10   6.58e-10     0.82   0.410    -7.48e-10    1.83e-09
        ezmajpctx |   -.003227    .011694    -0.28   0.783    -.0261467    .0196928
          minpctx |   .0354585   .0182569     1.94   0.052    -.0003245    .0712414
    fraction_rasm |   2.725967   2.728306     1.00   0.318    -2.621415    8.073349
    polarize_rasm |  -2.194731   1.782151    -1.23   0.218    -5.687682     1.29822
  shared_religion |  -.5579631   .3487638    -1.60   0.110    -1.241527    .1256013
                  |
             year |
            1992  |  -.0571345    .096862    -0.59   0.555    -.2469806    .1327116
            1993  |  -.0437872   .1069216    -0.41   0.682    -.2533496    .1657752
            1994  |  -.1244049    .126218    -0.99   0.324    -.3717877    .1229779
            1995  |  -.0094954   .1421443    -0.07   0.947    -.2880931    .2691022
            1996  |  -.0921028   .1346912    -0.68   0.494    -.3560927    .1718872
            1997  |  -.0546101   .1422483    -0.38   0.701    -.3334117    .2241915
            1998  |   .0529326   .1683217     0.31   0.753    -.2769718    .3828371
            1999  |  -.0520652   .1553461    -0.34   0.738    -.3565381    .2524076
            2000  |  -.0456394   .1749762    -0.26   0.794    -.3885863    .2973076
            2001  |   .0503975   .1871566     0.27   0.788    -.3164227    .4172177
            2002  |  -.0830688   .1961048    -0.42   0.672    -.4674271    .3012895
            2003  |  -.0367321   .1885874    -0.19   0.846    -.4063565    .3328924
            2004  |   -.046477   .1894815    -0.25   0.806    -.4178539       .3249
            2005  |   -.102701   .1918297    -0.54   0.592    -.4786803    .2732783
            2006  |   .0834903   .2068276     0.40   0.686    -.3218844     .488865
            2007  |  -.0438293   .2043252    -0.21   0.830    -.4442993    .3566408
            2008  |  -.1211885   .2023357    -0.60   0.549    -.5177592    .2753821
            2009  |   .0198783   .2008874     0.10   0.921    -.3738538    .4136105
            2010  |    .090219   .2140478     0.42   0.673    -.3293071     .509745
            2011  |   .0517471   .2081568     0.25   0.804    -.3562327    .4597269
            2012  |   .0361046   .2048301     0.18   0.860    -.3653549    .4375642
            2013  |  -.0593859   .2075628    -0.29   0.775    -.4662016    .3474299
            2014  |   .0512565   .2057971     0.25   0.803    -.3520984    .4546114
                  |
            _cons |  -3.536818   1.084598    -3.26   0.001    -5.662592   -1.411045
------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
3                 |
             mmxx |   .0613063   .0308383     1.99   0.047     .0008645    .1217482
              lxx |   .0690914   .0278124     2.48   0.013     .0145802    .1236026
       wzmin2majx |   .6263486    .258972     2.42   0.016     .1187728    1.133924
         zpolity2 |   .1244353   .0315864     3.94   0.000     .0625271    .1863436
      zpolity2_sq |  -.0098234   .0050015    -1.96   0.050    -.0196262   -.0000207
         cpi_pchg |  -.0002272   .0003286    -0.69   0.489    -.0008712    .0004168
unempl_youthm_ilo |  -.0112751   .0169304    -0.67   0.505    -.0444582    .0219079
     max_couprisk |   43.42658   14.11568     3.08   0.002     15.76036     71.0928
             zpop |   6.39e-10   5.02e-10     1.27   0.202    -3.44e-10    1.62e-09
        ezmajpctx |  -.0152706   .0141915    -1.08   0.282    -.0430855    .0125442
          minpctx |   .0259952   .0198062     1.31   0.189    -.0128243    .0648147
    fraction_rasm |  -5.699706   4.447056    -1.28   0.200    -14.41578    3.016363
    polarize_rasm |   2.719332   2.710621     1.00   0.316    -2.593388    8.032051
  shared_religion |   .3560603   .4212417     0.85   0.398    -.4695582    1.181679
                  |
             year |
            1992  |  -.0750562    .064927    -1.16   0.248    -.2023107    .0521983
            1993  |   .0158981   .0774681     0.21   0.837    -.1359365    .1677328
            1994  |    .051567   .1062095     0.49   0.627    -.1565997    .2597338
            1995  |   .0744917   .1080387     0.69   0.491    -.1372602    .2862436
            1996  |   .0152841   .0962373     0.16   0.874    -.1733376    .2039058
            1997  |   -.040585   .0929438    -0.44   0.662    -.2227514    .1415815
            1998  |   .0553191   .1142346     0.48   0.628    -.1685766    .2792149
            1999  |   .0100997   .1306396     0.08   0.938    -.2459493    .2661487
            2000  |   .0023102   .1213459     0.02   0.985    -.2355234    .2401438
            2001  |   .0802183   .1392191     0.58   0.564    -.1926461    .3530828
            2002  |   .0562338   .1465248     0.38   0.701    -.2309495     .343417
            2003  |    .091263   .1443258     0.63   0.527    -.1916103    .3741364
            2004  |   .2283513   .1734328     1.32   0.188    -.1115708    .5682733
            2005  |   .2069047   .1705455     1.21   0.225    -.1273584    .5411677
            2006  |   .2589123   .1745971     1.48   0.138    -.0832918    .6011164
            2007  |   .2438778   .1779481     1.37   0.171    -.1048941    .5926496
            2008  |   .1227553   .1865894     0.66   0.511    -.2429532    .4884639
            2009  |    .111213   .1881931     0.59   0.555    -.2576388    .4800648
            2010  |   .0759854   .2080565     0.37   0.715     -.331798    .4837687
            2011  |   .0414728   .2073435     0.20   0.841     -.364913    .4478587
            2012  |   .1350046   .2138593     0.63   0.528    -.2841519    .5541611
            2013  |   .0859536   .2129348     0.40   0.686     -.331391    .5032982
            2014  |  -.0275072   .2080369    -0.13   0.895    -.4352519    .3802376
                  |
            _cons |  -3.405292   1.221039    -2.79   0.005    -5.798484     -1.0121
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. 
. * Sub CoupRisk for CNTS weighted internal conflict measure

. 
. mlogit wzsocdis_sitetargeting_alt mmxx lxx wzmin2majx v2x_polyarchy cpi_pchg unempl_youthm_ilo cnts_conflict_wt zpop ezmajpctx minpctx fraction_rasm 
> polarize_rasm shared_religion i.year, vce(cluster group_cow) nolog

Multinomial logistic regression                         Number of obs = 11,719
                                                        Wald chi2(92) =      .
                                                        Prob > chi2   =      .
Log pseudolikelihood = -6026.8201                       Pseudo R2     = 0.1163

                                 (Std. err. adjusted for 680 clusters in group_cow)
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                  |               Robust
wzsocdis_siteta~t | Coefficient  std. err.      z    P>|z|     [95% conf. interval]
------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
0                 |  (base outcome)
------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
1                 |
             mmxx |   .0556905   .0283904     1.96   0.050     .0000464    .1113346
              lxx |  -.0162379   .0322015    -0.50   0.614    -.0793517    .0468759
       wzmin2majx |   .3600662   .2296837     1.57   0.117    -.0901055     .810238
    v2x_polyarchy |   3.591148   .8633487     4.16   0.000     1.899016     5.28328
         cpi_pchg |   .0001651   .0000491     3.36   0.001     .0000688    .0002613
unempl_youthm_ilo |   .0140461   .0160245     0.88   0.381    -.0173615    .0454536
 cnts_conflict_wt |   .0000612    .000063     0.97   0.331    -.0000623    .0001848
             zpop |  -3.53e-10   6.45e-10    -0.55   0.584    -1.62e-09    9.10e-10
        ezmajpctx |   .0230319   .0145539     1.58   0.114    -.0054931     .051557
          minpctx |   .0056568   .0207519     0.27   0.785    -.0350162    .0463298
    fraction_rasm |    3.92073   6.345216     0.62   0.537    -8.515664    16.35712
    polarize_rasm |  -1.455595   3.906921    -0.37   0.709    -9.113019    6.201829
  shared_religion |  -.7372719   .4705384    -1.57   0.117     -1.65951    .1849665
                  |
             year |
            1992  |  -.0346169   .1124605    -0.31   0.758    -.2550354    .1858015
            1993  |   .0362597   .1390883     0.26   0.794    -.2363484    .3088679
            1994  |   .0453585   .1411869     0.32   0.748    -.2313627    .3220797
            1995  |   .1280738   .1576807     0.81   0.417    -.1809748    .4371223
            1996  |    .143736   .1556126     0.92   0.356     -.161259    .4487311
            1997  |   .2875606   .1859338     1.55   0.122     -.076863    .6519842
            1998  |   .3301212   .1902193     1.74   0.083    -.0427018    .7029443
            1999  |   .2580618   .1712589     1.51   0.132    -.0775995    .5937232
            2000  |    .367402   .1773685     2.07   0.038     .0197661    .7150379
            2001  |   .3608949   .1748682     2.06   0.039     .0181596    .7036302
            2002  |   .4339293   .1871004     2.32   0.020     .0672193    .8006393
            2003  |   .3341984   .1887359     1.77   0.077    -.0357172     .704114
            2004  |   .4679448   .2067143     2.26   0.024     .0627921    .8730974
            2005  |   .4645382   .2076038     2.24   0.025     .0576422    .8714342
            2006  |   .5787594   .2185926     2.65   0.008     .1503258    1.007193
            2007  |   .5370314   .2127631     2.52   0.012     .1200233    .9540395
            2008  |   .6526854   .2225192     2.93   0.003     .2165559    1.088815
            2009  |   .4803519   .2186242     2.20   0.028     .0518563    .9088474
                  |
            _cons |   -7.74346   1.454518    -5.32   0.000    -10.59426   -4.892658
------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
2                 |
             mmxx |   .1135719   .0211396     5.37   0.000      .072139    .1550048
              lxx |   -.032314   .0232761    -1.39   0.165    -.0779343    .0133064
       wzmin2majx |   .5082223   .2083913     2.44   0.015      .099783    .9166617
    v2x_polyarchy |   3.415947   .8027088     4.26   0.000     1.842667    4.989227
         cpi_pchg |   .0001414    .000047     3.01   0.003     .0000492    .0002337
unempl_youthm_ilo |   .0300611    .010327     2.91   0.004     .0098206    .0503017
 cnts_conflict_wt |   .0000708   .0000554     1.28   0.201    -.0000377    .0001794
             zpop |   5.80e-10   6.17e-10     0.94   0.347    -6.29e-10    1.79e-09
        ezmajpctx |   .0053595   .0141705     0.38   0.705    -.0224142    .0331331
          minpctx |   .0269622   .0180685     1.49   0.136    -.0084514    .0623758
    fraction_rasm |    3.77015   3.700937     1.02   0.308    -3.483553    11.02385
    polarize_rasm |  -1.815401   2.342896    -0.77   0.438    -6.407393    2.776591
  shared_religion |   -.371883   .3724073    -1.00   0.318    -1.101788    .3580219
                  |
             year |
            1992  |  -.0320509   .1153297    -0.28   0.781     -.258093    .1939913
            1993  |   .0455451   .1230222     0.37   0.711     -.195574    .2866642
            1994  |   .0304564   .1387683     0.22   0.826    -.2415245    .3024373
            1995  |   .1379533   .1499055     0.92   0.357    -.1558561    .4317627
            1996  |   .0489911   .1476128     0.33   0.740    -.2403247    .3383069
            1997  |   .1408049   .1540437     0.91   0.361    -.1611153    .4427251
            1998  |   .3070649   .1694006     1.81   0.070    -.0249541     .639084
            1999  |   .1736395   .1620825     1.07   0.284    -.1440364    .4913154
            2000  |   .2191156   .1775746     1.23   0.217    -.1289241    .5671554
            2001  |   .3469143   .1867412     1.86   0.063    -.0190917    .7129204
            2002  |   .2481696    .190493     1.30   0.193    -.1251897    .6215289
            2003  |   .2159357   .1888199     1.14   0.253    -.1541445    .5860159
            2004  |   .2385066   .1934642     1.23   0.218    -.1406763    .6176895
            2005  |   .2182441   .1948774     1.12   0.263    -.1637086    .6001969
            2006  |   .4226384   .2122677     1.99   0.046     .0066013    .8386755
            2007  |   .3080457   .2066954     1.49   0.136    -.0970698    .7131613
            2008  |   .2701841   .2061707     1.31   0.190     -.133903    .6742712
            2009  |   .3341483     .20642     1.62   0.105    -.0704275     .738724
                  |
            _cons |  -6.622853   1.365317    -4.85   0.000    -9.298824   -3.946882
------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
3                 |
             mmxx |   .0608821   .0323781     1.88   0.060    -.0025778    .1243419
              lxx |   .0624109   .0304553     2.05   0.040     .0027196    .1221022
       wzmin2majx |   .5383486   .2872958     1.87   0.061    -.0247408    1.101438
    v2x_polyarchy |    2.24478   .9354739     2.40   0.016     .4112847    4.078275
         cpi_pchg |  -.0002475   .0003759    -0.66   0.510    -.0009842    .0004893
unempl_youthm_ilo |  -.0273977   .0219152    -1.25   0.211    -.0703507    .0155552
 cnts_conflict_wt |    .000202   .0000362     5.58   0.000     .0001311    .0002729
             zpop |   3.64e-10   5.48e-10     0.66   0.506    -7.10e-10    1.44e-09
        ezmajpctx |  -.0203406   .0154056    -1.32   0.187     -.050535    .0098539
          minpctx |   .0275151   .0231985     1.19   0.236    -.0179532    .0729834
    fraction_rasm |  -7.047652   4.546957    -1.55   0.121    -15.95952    1.864221
    polarize_rasm |   3.681685   2.562104     1.44   0.151    -1.339947    8.703318
  shared_religion |   .2615734   .4782995     0.55   0.584    -.6758763    1.199023
                  |
             year |
            1992  |   .1009973   .0701896     1.44   0.150    -.0365718    .2385663
            1993  |  -.0008433   .0635562    -0.01   0.989    -.1254113    .1237246
            1994  |   .0493265   .0804172     0.61   0.540    -.1082884    .2069413
            1995  |  -.1783207   .1475015    -1.21   0.227    -.4674183     .110777
            1996  |   .0929215   .0998374     0.93   0.352    -.1027562    .2885992
            1997  |   .1223879   .1019862     1.20   0.230    -.0775014    .3222772
            1998  |   .0742068   .1062706     0.70   0.485    -.1340798    .2824933
            1999  |   .1154871   .1156938     1.00   0.318    -.1112686    .3422428
            2000  |   .0992708   .1220552     0.81   0.416    -.1399529    .3384946
            2001  |   .1108079   .1384295     0.80   0.423    -.1605089    .3821247
            2002  |   .1500172    .143342     1.05   0.295    -.1309279    .4309623
            2003  |   .0959034   .1433084     0.67   0.503    -.1849758    .3767826
            2004  |   .1978047   .1626752     1.22   0.224    -.1210328    .5166422
            2005  |   .2190048   .1557017     1.41   0.160    -.0861649    .5241744
            2006  |   .2981541   .1715135     1.74   0.082    -.0380062    .6343143
            2007  |   .3386985   .1855625     1.83   0.068    -.0249972    .7023943
            2008  |   .2250077    .194459     1.16   0.247     -.156125    .6061403
            2009  |    .238857   .1864551     1.28   0.200    -.1265883    .6043023
                  |
            _cons |  -4.154317   1.431363    -2.90   0.004    -6.959737   -1.348897
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. 
. * Sub CoupRisk for CNTS elite unrest measure

. 
. mlogit wzsocdis_sitetargeting_alt mmxx lxx wzmin2majx v2x_polyarchy cpi_pchg unempl_youthm_ilo unrest_elite zpop ezmajpctx minpctx fraction_rasm pola
> rize_rasm shared_religion i.year, vce(cluster group_cow) nolog

Multinomial logistic regression                         Number of obs = 11,727
                                                        Wald chi2(92) =      .
                                                        Prob > chi2   =      .
Log pseudolikelihood = -6049.7254                       Pseudo R2     = 0.1134

                                 (Std. err. adjusted for 680 clusters in group_cow)
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                  |               Robust
wzsocdis_siteta~t | Coefficient  std. err.      z    P>|z|     [95% conf. interval]
------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
0                 |  (base outcome)
------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
1                 |
             mmxx |   .0555426   .0282437     1.97   0.049      .000186    .1108991
              lxx |  -.0171976   .0321229    -0.54   0.592    -.0801573     .045762
       wzmin2majx |   .3785788   .2272789     1.67   0.096    -.0668795    .8240372
    v2x_polyarchy |   3.515041    .867839     4.05   0.000     1.814108    5.215974
         cpi_pchg |   .0001534   .0000502     3.06   0.002     .0000551    .0002517
unempl_youthm_ilo |   .0141947   .0160073     0.89   0.375     -.017179    .0455685
     unrest_elite |   .2392609   .1527784     1.57   0.117    -.0601792    .5387011
             zpop |  -3.39e-10   6.51e-10    -0.52   0.602    -1.61e-09    9.36e-10
        ezmajpctx |   .0233146    .014398     1.62   0.105     -.004905    .0515343
          minpctx |   .0054472   .0207102     0.26   0.793    -.0351441    .0460384
    fraction_rasm |   3.965378   6.316793     0.63   0.530    -8.415308    16.34606
    polarize_rasm |   -1.48286    3.89291    -0.38   0.703    -9.112824    6.147104
  shared_religion |  -.7304848   .4706206    -1.55   0.121    -1.652884    .1919147
                  |
             year |
            1992  |  -.0538031   .1151733    -0.47   0.640    -.2795385    .1719324
            1993  |   .0106596   .1375034     0.08   0.938    -.2588421    .2801613
            1994  |   .0467255   .1436049     0.33   0.745     -.234735    .3281859
            1995  |   .1522245   .1587754     0.96   0.338    -.1589695    .4634186
            1996  |   .1501962   .1597434     0.94   0.347    -.1628952    .4632875
            1997  |   .2603634   .1822837     1.43   0.153    -.0969061    .6176329
            1998  |   .3210343   .1898694     1.69   0.091    -.0511028    .6931715
            1999  |   .2624496    .174147     1.51   0.132    -.0788723    .6037715
            2000  |   .3801531   .1824711     2.08   0.037     .0225163    .7377899
            2001  |   .3542144   .1767154     2.00   0.045     .0078587    .7005702
            2002  |   .4304284   .1890322     2.28   0.023     .0599321    .8009247
            2003  |     .34253   .1937144     1.77   0.077    -.0371432    .7222032
            2004  |   .4820099   .2116861     2.28   0.023     .0671128    .8969071
            2005  |   .4608934    .209065     2.20   0.027     .0511335    .8706533
            2006  |   .5957917   .2247478     2.65   0.008     .1552941    1.036289
            2007  |   .5562664    .212832     2.61   0.009     .1391232    .9734095
            2008  |   .6291491   .2227959     2.82   0.005     .1924772    1.065821
            2009  |   .4653803   .2223128     2.09   0.036     .0296552    .9011055
                  |
            _cons |  -7.703636   1.447449    -5.32   0.000    -10.54058   -4.866687
------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
2                 |
             mmxx |    .112985    .020987     5.38   0.000     .0718512    .1541188
              lxx |   -.032498   .0233826    -1.39   0.165    -.0783272    .0133311
       wzmin2majx |   .5295278   .2056251     2.58   0.010     .1265101    .9325456
    v2x_polyarchy |   3.337895   .7932243     4.21   0.000     1.783204    4.892587
         cpi_pchg |   .0001301   .0000477     2.73   0.006     .0000366    .0002237
unempl_youthm_ilo |   .0302708   .0102942     2.94   0.003     .0100946     .050447
     unrest_elite |   .2369209   .1341179     1.77   0.077    -.0259454    .4997871
             zpop |   5.90e-10   6.26e-10     0.94   0.346    -6.37e-10    1.82e-09
        ezmajpctx |   .0058087   .0140549     0.41   0.679    -.0217385    .0333558
          minpctx |   .0266071   .0180548     1.47   0.141    -.0087797    .0619939
    fraction_rasm |   3.791554   3.710772     1.02   0.307    -3.481426    11.06453
    polarize_rasm |  -1.809598   2.357493    -0.77   0.443    -6.430199    2.811003
  shared_religion |  -.3760877     .37287    -1.01   0.313    -1.106899    .3547242
                  |
             year |
            1992  |  -.0491723   .1184158    -0.42   0.678    -.2812631    .1829184
            1993  |   .0177393   .1217004     0.15   0.884     -.220789    .2562676
            1994  |   .0268181   .1377529     0.19   0.846    -.2431726    .2968088
            1995  |   .1597815   .1518881     1.05   0.293    -.1379137    .4574767
            1996  |   .0388508   .1444765     0.27   0.788     -.244318    .3220196
            1997  |   .1012698   .1494115     0.68   0.498    -.1915714     .394111
            1998  |   .2904634    .168667     1.72   0.085    -.0401178    .6210446
            1999  |   .1682014   .1625007     1.04   0.301    -.1502941    .4866968
            2000  |   .2277105   .1804262     1.26   0.207    -.1259182    .5813393
            2001  |   .3309294    .187235     1.77   0.077    -.0360444    .6979033
            2002  |   .2403969   .1911641     1.26   0.209    -.1342778    .6150717
            2003  |    .222954   .1917236     1.16   0.245    -.1528173    .5987253
            2004  |   .2517701   .1969303     1.28   0.201    -.1342062    .6377464
            2005  |   .2126842   .1975681     1.08   0.282    -.1745422    .5999106
            2006  |   .4298461   .2162235     1.99   0.047     .0060557    .8536364
            2007  |   .2902473   .2077264     1.40   0.162     -.116889    .6973835
            2008  |   .2377829   .2056059     1.16   0.247    -.1651972     .640763
            2009  |   .3075197   .2064886     1.49   0.136    -.0971906      .71223
                  |
            _cons |  -6.591874    1.35464    -4.87   0.000    -9.246921   -3.936827
------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
3                 |
             mmxx |   .0579344    .032472     1.78   0.074    -.0057096    .1215783
              lxx |   .0598726    .030893     1.94   0.053    -.0006766    .1204217
       wzmin2majx |   .5972219   .2891157     2.07   0.039     .0305655    1.163878
    v2x_polyarchy |   1.992297    .908468     2.19   0.028     .2117321    3.772861
         cpi_pchg |   -.000312   .0003504    -0.89   0.373    -.0009987    .0003748
unempl_youthm_ilo |  -.0243892    .020238    -1.21   0.228     -.064055    .0152765
     unrest_elite |    .454378   .1285114     3.54   0.000     .2025004    .7062556
             zpop |   5.88e-10   5.19e-10     1.13   0.257    -4.29e-10    1.61e-09
        ezmajpctx |   -.018339   .0153049    -1.20   0.231    -.0483361    .0116582
          minpctx |   .0254746   .0227812     1.12   0.263    -.0191757    .0701249
    fraction_rasm |  -7.157793   4.533534    -1.58   0.114    -16.04336    1.727771
    polarize_rasm |   3.853431     2.5649     1.50   0.133    -1.173681    8.880542
  shared_religion |   .2842462   .4823043     0.59   0.556    -.6610529    1.229545
                  |
             year |
            1992  |   .0995053   .0781884     1.27   0.203    -.0537412    .2527517
            1993  |  -.0110111   .0609553    -0.18   0.857    -.1304814    .1084591
            1994  |   .0882199   .0884587     1.00   0.319    -.0851559    .2615957
            1995  |   .0936625   .1064101     0.88   0.379    -.1148975    .3022226
            1996  |   .0496317   .1087154     0.46   0.648    -.1634466    .2627101
            1997  |  -.0301552   .1075676    -0.28   0.779    -.2409839    .1806735
            1998  |  -.0076989   .1092197    -0.07   0.944    -.2217656    .2063677
            1999  |   .0519509   .1282755     0.40   0.685    -.1994646    .3033663
            2000  |   .0967592   .1346661     0.72   0.472    -.1671815       .3607
            2001  |   .0872643    .138869     0.63   0.530    -.1849139    .3594426
            2002  |   .1264503   .1493386     0.85   0.397    -.1662479    .4191484
            2003  |   .1484214   .1524636     0.97   0.330    -.1504017    .4472446
            2004  |   .2514239   .1802853     1.39   0.163    -.1019287    .6047766
            2005  |   .1939979   .1648649     1.18   0.239    -.1291313    .5171271
            2006  |    .322839   .1871034     1.73   0.084     -.043877     .689555
            2007  |   .2590522   .1940157     1.34   0.182    -.1212116     .639316
            2008  |   .0976357   .2029267     0.48   0.630    -.3000933    .4953647
            2009  |   .1479498   .1959414     0.76   0.450    -.2360883    .5319879
                  |
            _cons |  -4.076444   1.410735    -2.89   0.004    -6.841434   -1.311453
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. 
. * Control for Violence v RelMin

. 
. mlogit wzsocdis_sitetargeting_alt wzsocdis23x mmxx lxx wzmin2majx v2x_polyarchy cpi_pchg unempl_youthm_ilo max_couprisk zpop ezmajpctx minpctx fracti
> on_rasm polarize_rasm shared_religion i.year, vce(cluster group_cow) nolog

Multinomial logistic regression                        Number of obs  = 15,382
                                                       Wald chi2(110) =      .
                                                       Prob > chi2    =      .
Log pseudolikelihood = -7805.6398                      Pseudo R2      = 0.1690

                                 (Std. err. adjusted for 701 clusters in group_cow)
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                  |               Robust
wzsocdis_siteta~t | Coefficient  std. err.      z    P>|z|     [95% conf. interval]
------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
0                 |  (base outcome)
------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
1                 |
      wzsocdis23x |   1.700425   .7209014     2.36   0.018     .2874847    3.113366
             mmxx |   .0509138   .0214251     2.38   0.017     .0089214    .0929063
              lxx |  -.0163977   .0278676    -0.59   0.556    -.0710173    .0382218
       wzmin2majx |   .3402691   .1954183     1.74   0.082    -.0427436    .7232819
    v2x_polyarchy |   3.036928   .7741599     3.92   0.000     1.519603    4.554254
         cpi_pchg |   .0001526   .0000545     2.80   0.005     .0000458    .0002594
unempl_youthm_ilo |   .0187284   .0121305     1.54   0.123    -.0050468    .0425037
     max_couprisk |  -63.23429    59.6009    -1.06   0.289    -180.0499    53.58133
             zpop |  -1.74e-10   5.73e-10    -0.30   0.762    -1.30e-09    9.50e-10
        ezmajpctx |    .012588   .0141424     0.89   0.373    -.0151305    .0403066
          minpctx |   .0085392   .0212143     0.40   0.687    -.0330401    .0501184
    fraction_rasm |   3.006213   4.294611     0.70   0.484    -5.411069     11.4235
    polarize_rasm |  -1.630656   2.729756    -0.60   0.550    -6.980879    3.719567
  shared_religion |  -.9802581   .4452028    -2.20   0.028     -1.85284   -.1076766
                  |
             year |
            1992  |  -.0348274   .1102267    -0.32   0.752    -.2508678    .1812129
            1993  |   .0319697   .1380177     0.23   0.817      -.23854    .3024795
            1994  |   .0146503   .1425759     0.10   0.918    -.2647934    .2940939
            1995  |   .0735651    .157752     0.47   0.641    -.2356231    .3827533
            1996  |   .0741468   .1564806     0.47   0.636    -.2325496    .3808432
            1997  |   .1934175   .1877827     1.03   0.303    -.1746299    .5614649
            1998  |   .2171688   .1862442     1.17   0.244     -.147863    .5822007
            1999  |   .1594114   .1720437     0.93   0.354    -.1777881    .4966109
            2000  |   .2742607   .1750427     1.57   0.117    -.0688166    .6173381
            2001  |   .2455345   .1752914     1.40   0.161    -.0980303    .5890993
            2002  |   .2887445   .1935988     1.49   0.136    -.0907021    .6681912
            2003  |   .2304506   .1951855     1.18   0.238    -.1521059    .6130071
            2004  |   .3238317   .2079708     1.56   0.119    -.0837836    .7314469
            2005  |   .3051158   .2120545     1.44   0.150    -.1105033    .7207349
            2006  |   .4006082   .2206935     1.82   0.069    -.0319431    .8331595
            2007  |    .428756   .2252004     1.90   0.057    -.0126287    .8701406
            2008  |   .4680444   .2327817     2.01   0.044     .0118007     .924288
            2009  |   .3469807   .2176648     1.59   0.111    -.0796345    .7735959
            2010  |   .4391188    .213256     2.06   0.039     .0211448    .8570928
            2011  |   .4006234   .2188263     1.83   0.067    -.0282683    .8295152
            2012  |   .5642157   .2210282     2.55   0.011     .1310083     .997423
            2013  |   .5088691   .2275113     2.24   0.025     .0629551    .9547831
            2014  |   .3941386   .2077531     1.90   0.058      -.01305    .8013273
                  |
            _cons |  -7.777131   1.625491    -4.78   0.000    -10.96304   -4.591227
------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
2                 |
      wzsocdis23x |   1.451028   .6250433     2.32   0.020     .2259655     2.67609
             mmxx |   .0994192   .0194545     5.11   0.000      .061289    .1375494
              lxx |  -.0267267   .0217837    -1.23   0.220    -.0694219    .0159685
       wzmin2majx |   .5298838   .1853429     2.86   0.004     .1666185    .8931491
    v2x_polyarchy |   3.037824   .7938415     3.83   0.000     1.481923    4.593724
         cpi_pchg |   .0001409   .0000457     3.08   0.002     .0000513    .0002306
unempl_youthm_ilo |   .0289125   .0097093     2.98   0.003     .0098825    .0479424
     max_couprisk |  -54.89526   38.26435    -1.43   0.151     -129.892     20.1015
             zpop |   6.50e-10   6.41e-10     1.01   0.310    -6.06e-10    1.91e-09
        ezmajpctx |  -.0032381   .0124903    -0.26   0.795    -.0277188    .0212425
          minpctx |   .0302195   .0183056     1.65   0.099    -.0056588    .0660978
    fraction_rasm |    2.39132   2.969934     0.81   0.421    -3.429644    8.212284
    polarize_rasm |  -1.679813   1.964633    -0.86   0.393    -5.530424    2.170797
  shared_religion |  -.5315956   .3511208    -1.51   0.130     -1.21978    .1565885
                  |
             year |
            1992  |  -.0952785   .1002516    -0.95   0.342     -.291768     .101211
            1993  |  -.0291732   .1156229    -0.25   0.801      -.25579    .1974435
            1994  |  -.0708181     .13324    -0.53   0.595    -.3319638    .1903276
            1995  |   .0225799   .1464794     0.15   0.877    -.2645145    .3096743
            1996  |  -.0859542   .1376542    -0.62   0.532    -.3557516    .1838431
            1997  |  -.0240039   .1467794    -0.16   0.870    -.3116862    .2636785
            1998  |   .1294589   .1740862     0.74   0.457    -.2117438    .4706616
            1999  |   .0121693   .1596391     0.08   0.939    -.3007175    .3250561
            2000  |   .0552089   .1745203     0.32   0.752    -.2868447    .3972625
            2001  |   .1688668   .1914702     0.88   0.378    -.2064079    .5441414
            2002  |   .0518486   .2000176     0.26   0.795    -.3401787     .443876
            2003  |   .0775738   .1928602     0.40   0.688    -.3004252    .4555728
            2004  |   .0518901   .1951138     0.27   0.790     -.330526    .4343062
            2005  |    .010755    .198649     0.05   0.957    -.3785899    .4000998
            2006  |   .1944459   .2157253     0.90   0.367     -.228368    .6172597
            2007  |    .098451    .214016     0.46   0.646    -.3210126    .5179146
            2008  |   .0396908   .2114872     0.19   0.851    -.3748164    .4541981
            2009  |   .1502565    .207806     0.72   0.470    -.2570358    .5575488
            2010  |   .2245903   .2219875     1.01   0.312    -.2104972    .6596777
            2011  |   .1975355   .2209951     0.89   0.371     -.235607     .630678
            2012  |   .1790763   .2120407     0.84   0.398    -.2365157    .5946684
            2013  |   .1206054   .2157501     0.56   0.576     -.302257    .5434678
            2014  |   .2185896   .2129415     1.03   0.305     -.198768    .6359473
                  |
            _cons |  -6.541487   1.481763    -4.41   0.000     -9.44569   -3.637284
------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
3                 |
      wzsocdis23x |   2.680879   .5833466     4.60   0.000      1.53754    3.824217
             mmxx |   .0420717   .0343322     1.23   0.220    -.0252181    .1093615
              lxx |   .0574492   .0324014     1.77   0.076    -.0060563    .1209547
       wzmin2majx |   .3330715   .2351005     1.42   0.157     -.127717      .79386
    v2x_polyarchy |   2.916212   1.090635     2.67   0.007     .7786066    5.053817
         cpi_pchg |  -.0003404   .0004828    -0.70   0.481    -.0012866    .0006059
unempl_youthm_ilo |   -.003602   .0194524    -0.19   0.853    -.0417279     .034524
     max_couprisk |   29.25969   23.58311     1.24   0.215    -16.96236    75.48174
             zpop |   5.64e-10   5.85e-10     0.96   0.335    -5.82e-10    1.71e-09
        ezmajpctx |  -.0141983   .0153087    -0.93   0.354    -.0442028    .0158061
          minpctx |   .0348377    .019128     1.82   0.069    -.0026525     .072328
    fraction_rasm |  -5.544295   3.757289    -1.48   0.140    -12.90845    1.819855
    polarize_rasm |   2.291718   2.205105     1.04   0.299     -2.03021    6.613645
  shared_religion |  -.0418955   .4708331    -0.09   0.929    -.9647115    .8809205
                  |
             year |
            1992  |  -.0654712   .0500196    -1.31   0.191    -.1635078    .0325654
            1993  |   .0232422    .102343     0.23   0.820    -.1773465    .2238308
            1994  |   .0872113   .1260109     0.69   0.489    -.1597656    .3341882
            1995  |   .1352271   .1418565     0.95   0.340    -.1428066    .4132607
            1996  |    .069259   .1361596     0.51   0.611    -.1976089     .336127
            1997  |   .0885567   .1355536     0.65   0.514    -.1771235    .3542369
            1998  |   .1398613   .1577746     0.89   0.375    -.1693713    .4490938
            1999  |   .0859898   .1683288     0.51   0.609    -.2439285    .4159082
            2000  |   .0417681   .1731012     0.24   0.809    -.2975039    .3810402
            2001  |   .1488062   .1890965     0.79   0.431    -.2218162    .5194285
            2002  |   .1027806   .1941164     0.53   0.596    -.2776805    .4832417
            2003  |   .1745253   .1945423     0.90   0.370    -.2067706    .5558213
            2004  |   .1683022   .2244893     0.75   0.453    -.2716887    .6082931
            2005  |   .1570253   .2106484     0.75   0.456     -.255838    .5698887
            2006  |   .2426071   .2183111     1.11   0.266    -.1852749     .670489
            2007  |    .331735   .2288094     1.45   0.147    -.1167232    .7801933
            2008  |   .2147764   .2422404     0.89   0.375     -.260006    .6895588
            2009  |   .1951074   .2516505     0.78   0.438    -.2981185    .6883333
            2010  |   .1031365   .2741983     0.38   0.707    -.4342822    .6405552
            2011  |    .085256   .2803986     0.30   0.761    -.4643151     .634827
            2012  |   .2950805   .2927156     1.01   0.313    -.2786315    .8687924
            2013  |    .242214    .281597     0.86   0.390     -.309706     .794134
            2014  |       .141   .2815595     0.50   0.617    -.4108464    .6928463
                  |
            _cons |  -7.817091   1.719796    -4.55   0.000    -11.18783   -4.446352
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. 
. * Alternative Model 1 using 4-level Site Targeting Variable, Major Vandalism and Minor Violence as Distinct Levels

. 
. mlogit wzsocdis_sitetargeting4 mmxx lxx wzmin2majx v2x_polyarchy cpi_pchg unempl_youthm_ilo max_couprisk zpop ezmajpctx minpctx fraction_rasm polariz
> e_rasm shared_religion i.year, vce(cluster group_cow) nolog

Multinomial logistic regression                        Number of obs  = 15,382
                                                       Wald chi2(142) =      .
                                                       Prob > chi2    =      .
Log pseudolikelihood = -8729.4881                      Pseudo R2      = 0.1337

                                 (Std. err. adjusted for 701 clusters in group_cow)
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                  |               Robust
wzsocdis_siteta~4 | Coefficient  std. err.      z    P>|z|     [95% conf. interval]
------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
0                 |  (base outcome)
------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
1                 |
             mmxx |   .0578768   .0214611     2.70   0.007     .0158137    .0999399
              lxx |  -.0135114   .0291124    -0.46   0.643    -.0705706    .0435479
       wzmin2majx |   .4341396    .213179     2.04   0.042     .0163164    .8519628
    v2x_polyarchy |   3.048559   .7603482     4.01   0.000     1.558304    4.538814
         cpi_pchg |   .0001551   .0000559     2.78   0.006     .0000456    .0002647
unempl_youthm_ilo |   .0188879    .012066     1.57   0.117     -.004761    .0425369
     max_couprisk |  -51.97825     66.168    -0.79   0.432    -181.6652    77.70866
             zpop |  -1.73e-10   5.70e-10    -0.30   0.761    -1.29e-09    9.44e-10
        ezmajpctx |   .0128918   .0142765     0.90   0.367    -.0150896    .0408732
          minpctx |   .0095923   .0203788     0.47   0.638    -.0303493     .049534
    fraction_rasm |   3.374716   4.354282     0.78   0.438     -5.15952    11.90895
    polarize_rasm |  -1.780064    2.78022    -0.64   0.522    -7.229194    3.669066
  shared_religion |   -.887392   .4336957    -2.05   0.041     -1.73742    -.037364
                  |
             year |
            1992  |   -.029774   .1093897    -0.27   0.785    -.2441738    .1846258
            1993  |   .0403816   .1379386     0.29   0.770    -.2299732    .3107363
            1994  |   .0213448   .1441994     0.15   0.882    -.2612809    .3039704
            1995  |   .0902854   .1599749     0.56   0.573    -.2232596    .4038304
            1996  |   .0838205    .157608     0.53   0.595    -.2250854    .3927265
            1997  |   .2007218   .1885494     1.06   0.287    -.1688283    .5702719
            1998  |   .2260167   .1893004     1.19   0.232    -.1450052    .5970387
            1999  |   .1662904   .1729603     0.96   0.336    -.1727056    .5052864
            2000  |   .2806161   .1749832     1.60   0.109    -.0623448    .6235769
            2001  |   .2548337   .1778386     1.43   0.152    -.0937235    .6033909
            2002  |   .3032154    .197375     1.54   0.124    -.0836325    .6900634
            2003  |    .230661    .195953     1.18   0.239    -.1533999    .6147218
            2004  |   .3428156    .210743     1.63   0.104     -.070233    .7558643
            2005  |   .3250211   .2136338     1.52   0.128    -.0936936    .7437357
            2006  |   .4149597   .2236607     1.86   0.064    -.0234072    .8533266
            2007  |    .432711   .2278997     1.90   0.058    -.0139642    .8793861
            2008  |    .471725   .2341527     2.01   0.044     .0127942    .9306557
            2009  |   .3418833    .219298     1.56   0.119     -.087933    .7716996
            2010  |    .465703   .2182431     2.13   0.033     .0379545    .8934515
            2011  |   .4242838   .2232329     1.90   0.057    -.0132446    .8618122
            2012  |   .5791962   .2224925     2.60   0.009      .143119    1.015273
            2013  |   .5251994   .2309852     2.27   0.023     .0724767    .9779222
            2014  |   .4049163   .2090875     1.94   0.053    -.0048877    .8147203
                  |
            _cons |  -6.217935   1.428373    -4.35   0.000    -9.017495   -3.418374
------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
2                 |
             mmxx |   .1305623   .0262868     4.97   0.000     .0790412    .1820834
              lxx |  -.0304611   .0276047    -1.10   0.270    -.0845652    .0236431
       wzmin2majx |   .1395876   .3256654     0.43   0.668    -.4987048      .77788
    v2x_polyarchy |   2.882409   1.016707     2.84   0.005     .8897002    4.875117
         cpi_pchg |   .0002031   .0000491     4.13   0.000     .0001068    .0002994
unempl_youthm_ilo |   .0361248    .011427     3.16   0.002     .0137284    .0585213
     max_couprisk |  -208.0716   91.84909    -2.27   0.023    -388.0925    -28.0507
             zpop |  -2.67e-09   1.69e-09    -1.58   0.114    -5.99e-09    6.45e-10
        ezmajpctx |  -.0186848   .0153542    -1.22   0.224    -.0487784    .0114089
          minpctx |   .0385965   .0254366     1.52   0.129    -.0112583    .0884513
    fraction_rasm |   2.099978   5.225912     0.40   0.688    -8.142622    12.34258
    polarize_rasm |  -2.312845   3.503662    -0.66   0.509    -9.179896    4.554206
  shared_religion |  -.5585915   .4441047    -1.26   0.208    -1.429021    .3118377
                  |
             year |
            1992  |  -.0137924   .1494702    -0.09   0.926    -.3067486    .2791639
            1993  |  -.1025625   .1921471    -0.53   0.594     -.479164     .274039
            1994  |  -.3001683   .2009423    -1.49   0.135    -.6940079    .0936714
            1995  |   -.263435   .2126893    -1.24   0.215    -.6802984    .1534285
            1996  |  -.2683758   .2140296    -1.25   0.210    -.6878661    .1511145
            1997  |  -.3015656   .2142499    -1.41   0.159    -.7214877    .1183565
            1998  |  -.3558928   .2226879    -1.60   0.110     -.792353    .0805674
            1999  |  -.4142723   .2329086    -1.78   0.075    -.8707648    .0422202
            2000  |  -.4282187   .2432525    -1.76   0.078    -.9049849    .0485474
            2001  |  -.4370192   .2596848    -1.68   0.092     -.945992    .0719536
            2002  |  -.5491206   .2621786    -2.09   0.036    -1.062981     -.03526
            2003  |  -.5664585    .266758    -2.12   0.034    -1.089295   -.0436224
            2004  |  -.5515946   .2455032    -2.25   0.025    -1.032772   -.0704171
            2005  |  -.6292197   .2623253    -2.40   0.016    -1.143368   -.1150715
            2006  |   -.531022   .2793412    -1.90   0.057    -1.078521    .0164767
            2007  |  -.4903133   .2861571    -1.71   0.087    -1.051171    .0705443
            2008  |  -.4964841     .28036    -1.77   0.077     -1.04598    .0530113
            2009  |  -.6291323   .2920255    -2.15   0.031    -1.201492   -.0567729
            2010  |  -.3827422   .2915779    -1.31   0.189    -.9542244      .18874
            2011  |  -.3665631   .2903298    -1.26   0.207     -.935599    .2024728
            2012  |  -.3551643    .282055    -1.26   0.208    -.9079819    .1976534
            2013  |  -.3692297   .2904306    -1.27   0.204    -.9384631    .2000038
            2014  |  -.2206699   .2769014    -0.80   0.425    -.7633867    .3220468
                  |
            _cons |  -3.640858   1.565686    -2.33   0.020    -6.709546   -.5721703
------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
3                 |
             mmxx |   .0659395   .0253831     2.60   0.009     .0161896    .1156894
              lxx |  -.0234865   .0273862    -0.86   0.391    -.0771625    .0301895
       wzmin2majx |   .7911131   .2047312     3.86   0.000     .3898473    1.192379
    v2x_polyarchy |   3.032531   1.210412     2.51   0.012      .660166    5.404896
         cpi_pchg |   -.001792   .0017768    -1.01   0.313    -.0052745    .0016905
unempl_youthm_ilo |   .0193294   .0173664     1.11   0.266    -.0147081    .0533669
     max_couprisk |   18.65898   26.13154     0.71   0.475    -32.55789    69.87586
             zpop |   1.56e-09   5.85e-10     2.67   0.008     4.14e-10    2.71e-09
        ezmajpctx |   .0214258   .0120374     1.78   0.075    -.0021671    .0450187
          minpctx |   .0184935   .0192692     0.96   0.337    -.0192735    .0562605
    fraction_rasm |   5.036792   1.872038     2.69   0.007     1.367665    8.705919
    polarize_rasm |  -1.798821   1.458843    -1.23   0.218    -4.658101     1.06046
  shared_religion |  -.3526263    .507559    -0.69   0.487    -1.347424     .642171
                  |
             year |
            1992  |  -.2096315   .1475632    -1.42   0.155      -.49885     .079587
            1993  |   .0160544   .1223352     0.13   0.896    -.2237182    .2558271
            1994  |   .2196234   .2017786     1.09   0.276    -.1758555    .6151023
            1995  |    .347517   .2395764     1.45   0.147     -.122044     .817078
            1996  |  -.1048493   .1317237    -0.80   0.426     -.363023    .1533244
            1997  |   .1292018   .2089665     0.62   0.536    -.2803649    .5387685
            1998  |    .584208   .2999286     1.95   0.051    -.0036413    1.172057
            1999  |   .3986035   .2732383     1.46   0.145    -.1369337    .9341407
            2000  |   .5474213   .2982192     1.84   0.066    -.0370776     1.13192
            2001  |   .7853339   .3198763     2.46   0.014     .1583879     1.41228
            2002  |   .6423293   .3374475     1.90   0.057    -.0190557    1.303714
            2003  |   .7166782   .3392037     2.11   0.035     .0518511    1.381505
            2004  |   .6503602   .3389032     1.92   0.055    -.0138779    1.314598
            2005  |   .6409146   .3423927     1.87   0.061    -.0301627    1.311992
            2006  |   .9070103   .3567598     2.54   0.011      .207774    1.606247
            2007  |   .6516805   .3432025     1.90   0.058     -.020984    1.324345
            2008  |   .5267556   .3385122     1.56   0.120     -.136716    1.190227
            2009  |   .8797444   .3614591     2.43   0.015     .1712976    1.588191
            2010  |   .8163982   .3778061     2.16   0.031     .0759119    1.556884
            2011  |   .7460797   .3777764     1.97   0.048     .0056515    1.486508
            2012  |    .652397   .3644219     1.79   0.073    -.0618567    1.366651
            2013  |    .476522   .3614853     1.32   0.187    -.2319762     1.18502
            2014  |   .5576094   .3680321     1.52   0.130    -.1637202    1.278939
                  |
            _cons |   -8.67465    1.59891    -5.43   0.000    -11.80846   -5.540845
------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
4                 |
             mmxx |   .0602486   .0311739     1.93   0.053    -.0008511    .1213483
              lxx |   .0665386   .0280629     2.37   0.018     .0115362    .1215409
       wzmin2majx |   .6299997   .2672004     2.36   0.018     .1062966    1.153703
    v2x_polyarchy |   2.626808   .8948038     2.94   0.003      .873025    4.380592
         cpi_pchg |  -.0000866   .0002791    -0.31   0.756    -.0006336    .0004604
unempl_youthm_ilo |  -.0053805    .017626    -0.31   0.760    -.0399268    .0291658
     max_couprisk |   65.34022   14.23962     4.59   0.000     37.43107    93.24936
             zpop |   6.50e-10   4.82e-10     1.35   0.177    -2.94e-10    1.59e-09
        ezmajpctx |  -.0114933   .0148069    -0.78   0.438    -.0405143    .0175277
          minpctx |   .0264468   .0202139     1.31   0.191    -.0131718    .0660654
    fraction_rasm |  -3.271406   4.308721    -0.76   0.448    -11.71635    5.173532
    polarize_rasm |   1.832532   2.581828     0.71   0.478    -3.227757    6.892821
  shared_religion |   .3199875   .4201802     0.76   0.446    -.5035507    1.143526
                  |
             year |
            1992  |  -.0417154     .06757    -0.62   0.537    -.1741501    .0907194
            1993  |   .0505976   .0990055     0.51   0.609    -.1434496    .2446448
            1994  |   .1483503   .1259617     1.18   0.239    -.0985302    .3952308
            1995  |   .2069723   .1337427     1.55   0.122    -.0551586    .4691032
            1996  |   .1055773   .1169243     0.90   0.367      -.12359    .3347447
            1997  |   .1093134   .1172226     0.93   0.351    -.1204387    .3390654
            1998  |    .218531   .1430574     1.53   0.127    -.0618563    .4989182
            1999  |   .1447775   .1476012     0.98   0.327    -.1445155    .4340704
            2000  |   .1325389   .1477892     0.90   0.370    -.1571227    .4222004
            2001  |   .2252071   .1626202     1.38   0.166    -.0935226    .5439368
            2002  |   .1774957   .1741103     1.02   0.308    -.1637541    .5187456
            2003  |   .2376178   .1732211     1.37   0.170    -.1018894     .577125
            2004  |   .3431854   .1940194     1.77   0.077    -.0370858    .7234565
            2005  |   .3153053   .1918223     1.64   0.100    -.0606595    .6912702
            2006  |   .4072764   .1941018     2.10   0.036     .0268438    .7877089
            2007  |   .4454407   .2016096     2.21   0.027     .0502931    .8405884
            2008  |   .3312968   .2089919     1.59   0.113    -.0783198    .7409133
            2009  |   .3035648   .2143446     1.42   0.157     -.116543    .7236726
            2010  |   .3169156   .2344154     1.35   0.176    -.1425301    .7763612
            2011  |    .282359   .2339878     1.21   0.228    -.1762486    .7409667
            2012  |   .3658144   .2385203     1.53   0.125    -.1016767    .8333056
            2013  |   .3244311   .2362964     1.37   0.170    -.1387014    .7875637
            2014  |   .2154983   .2337545     0.92   0.357    -.2426521    .6736487
                  |
            _cons |   -5.70106   1.459756    -3.91   0.000    -8.562128   -2.839991
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. 
. margins, dydx(mmxx lxx wzmin2majx cpi_pchg unempl_youthm_ilo max_couprisk v2x_polyarchy) predict(outcome(1))

Average marginal effects                                Number of obs = 15,382
Model VCE: Robust

Expression: Pr(wzsocdis_sitetargeting4==1), predict(outcome(1))
dy/dx wrt:  mmxx lxx wzmin2majx v2x_polyarchy cpi_pchg unempl_youthm_ilo max_couprisk

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                  |            Delta-method
                  |      dy/dx   std. err.      z    P>|z|     [95% conf. interval]
------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
             mmxx |   .0021091   .0009995     2.11   0.035       .00015    .0040682
              lxx |  -.0006583   .0013662    -0.48   0.630     -.003336    .0020195
       wzmin2majx |   .0173073   .0092538     1.87   0.061    -.0008298    .0354445
    v2x_polyarchy |   .1250998   .0393098     3.18   0.001      .048054    .2021456
         cpi_pchg |   .0000107   4.95e-06     2.16   0.031     9.67e-07    .0000204
unempl_youthm_ilo |   .0007687   .0005675     1.35   0.176    -.0003436     .001881
     max_couprisk |  -2.053615   3.092974    -0.66   0.507    -8.115732    4.008502
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. 
. margins, dydx(mmxx lxx wzmin2majx cpi_pchg unempl_youthm_ilo max_couprisk v2x_polyarchy) predict(outcome(2))

Average marginal effects                                Number of obs = 15,382
Model VCE: Robust

Expression: Pr(wzsocdis_sitetargeting4==2), predict(outcome(2))
dy/dx wrt:  mmxx lxx wzmin2majx v2x_polyarchy cpi_pchg unempl_youthm_ilo max_couprisk

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                  |            Delta-method
                  |      dy/dx   std. err.      z    P>|z|     [95% conf. interval]
------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
             mmxx |   .0039258   .0009193     4.27   0.000     .0021241    .0057275
              lxx |  -.0010608   .0008786    -1.21   0.227    -.0027827    .0006612
       wzmin2majx |   .0011243   .0102837     0.11   0.913    -.0190313      .02128
    v2x_polyarchy |   .0769904   .0336135     2.29   0.022     .0111092    .1428716
         cpi_pchg |   8.58e-06   2.80e-06     3.06   0.002     3.09e-06    .0000141
unempl_youthm_ilo |   .0011187   .0004093     2.73   0.006     .0003166    .0019208
     max_couprisk |  -6.837057   3.173872    -2.15   0.031    -13.05773   -.6163808
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. 
. margins, dydx(mmxx lxx wzmin2majx cpi_pchg unempl_youthm_ilo max_couprisk v2x_polyarchy) predict(outcome(3))

Average marginal effects                                Number of obs = 15,382
Model VCE: Robust

Expression: Pr(wzsocdis_sitetargeting4==3), predict(outcome(3))
dy/dx wrt:  mmxx lxx wzmin2majx v2x_polyarchy cpi_pchg unempl_youthm_ilo max_couprisk

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                  |            Delta-method
                  |      dy/dx   std. err.      z    P>|z|     [95% conf. interval]
------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
             mmxx |     .00125   .0006117     2.04   0.041     .0000511    .0024489
              lxx |   -.000663   .0006613    -1.00   0.316     -.001959    .0006331
       wzmin2majx |   .0174653    .004992     3.50   0.000     .0076813    .0272494
    v2x_polyarchy |    .060811   .0303068     2.01   0.045     .0014108    .1202111
         cpi_pchg |  -.0000453   .0000471    -0.96   0.336    -.0001377     .000047
unempl_youthm_ilo |   .0004132   .0004237     0.98   0.329    -.0004172    .0012436
     max_couprisk |   .6919176   .6427873     1.08   0.282    -.5679223    1.951758
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. 
. margins, dydx(mmxx lxx wzmin2majx cpi_pchg unempl_youthm_ilo max_couprisk v2x_polyarchy) predict(outcome(4))

Average marginal effects                                Number of obs = 15,382
Model VCE: Robust

Expression: Pr(wzsocdis_sitetargeting4==4), predict(outcome(4))
dy/dx wrt:  mmxx lxx wzmin2majx v2x_polyarchy cpi_pchg unempl_youthm_ilo max_couprisk

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                  |            Delta-method
                  |      dy/dx   std. err.      z    P>|z|     [95% conf. interval]
------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
             mmxx |    .001676   .0011087     1.51   0.131    -.0004971    .0038491
              lxx |   .0025626   .0010751     2.38   0.017     .0004554    .0046697
       wzmin2majx |   .0200543   .0090623     2.21   0.027     .0022925     .037816
    v2x_polyarchy |   .0769525     .03358     2.29   0.022      .011137     .142768
         cpi_pchg |  -1.58e-07    .000011    -0.01   0.989    -.0000217    .0000214
unempl_youthm_ilo |  -.0003485   .0006362    -0.55   0.584    -.0015955    .0008985
     max_couprisk |   2.859088   .7030689     4.07   0.000     1.481098    4.237078
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. log close
      name:  <unnamed>
       log:  diversionary-desecration-replication-output.log
  log type:  text
 closed on:   1 Nov 2023, 12:06:38
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